ADP report shows that private hiring in September plunged, reinforcing bets for a Fed rate cut later this month. US government shutdown delays Nonfarm Payrolls release, weighs on markets but support flows into Gold. Treasury yields tumble and US Dollar softens, creating a favorable backdrop for bullion’s rally toward fresh record highs. Gold price surges […]
Core PCE inflation remains under 3%, boosting the probability of Fed rate cuts to nearly 90% into year-end. Dovish Fed voices highlight a fragile labor market, and Barkin warns that inflation and unemployment trends remain concerning. Euro steadies despite NATO–Russia tensions, with traders eyeing US jobs data and upcoming Eurozone inflation prints. EUR/USD recovers on
US Dollar bounces from three-year lows after Fed cut, supported by rising US Treasury yields late in the week. Fed officials Daly and Kashkari offered cautious tones, while Miran reaffirmed his preference for deeper easing. French spending cut protests pressure Macron’s new PM, adding political headwinds for the Euro. EUR/USD edges lower on Friday, late
Euro retreats as Powell signals cautious stance despite 25 bps Fed cut. US Jobless Claims dip and Philly Fed survey beats forecasts, reinforcing Dollar strength in post-FOMC trading. ECB officials strike a neutral tone, saying rates are appropriate, with balanced inflation risks but weaker growth outlook. EUR/USD retreats after reaching a yearly high above 1.1900
AUD/USD hits 0.6588 peak after US adds just 22K jobs in August, well below 75K forecast. Unemployment rate rises to 4.3% as wage growth steadies; traders fully price September 25 bps Fed cut. Markets eye US CPI next week, while AUD outlook hinges on China data and domestic consumer sentiment. The AUD/USD rallies to six
EUR/USD climbs 0.37% to 1.1679 as the US Dollar Index dips 0.25% to 98.06 following disappointing US economic releases. JOLTS report shows vacancies fall sharply, layoffs rise; tariffs blamed for worsening US labor market conditions. Eurozone Services PMI misses forecasts at 50.5, while Producer Prices ease, keeping ECB policy outlook cautiously dovish. EUR/USD recovers ground
GBP/USD rebounds from 1.3332 lows 1.3442 as US Dollar slips after Tuesday’s sharp rally above DXY 98.50. US JOLTS report shows July job openings fell sharply, highlighting tariffs’ drag on hiring and manufacturing weakness. UK Services PMI jumps to 54.2, easing fiscal worries, while BoE officials stress inflation risks and policy caution. The GBP/USD advances
Gold prices rallied sharply after Powell’s dovish tone highlighted employment risks despite persistent upside risks to inflation. Traders priced in a 90% probability of a 25 basis-point Fed cut, with key data still ahead before September. Next week’s US docket includes Durable Goods, GDP, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index.
EUR/USD boosted by signs of imminent US–EU deal ahead of August 1 deadline. US Durable Goods Orders miss, but jobless claims stay strong, supporting Fed hold expectations. ECB holds rates steady; next week’s focus shifts to key Fed policy decision on July 30. The EUR/USD finished the week up by nearly 1% on Friday, yet
EUR/CHF edges higher amid speculation of intervention from the Swiss National Bank in currency markets. EU–US trade talks stall ahead of August tariff deadline, fueling market uncertainty and limiting EUR/CHF gains. EUR/CHF tests key Fibonacci resistance as downtrend holds, while bearish momentum fades. The Euro (EUR) is edging higher against the Swiss Franc (CHF). On
Fed’s Waller supports July rate cut, pulling Treasury yields and Dollar lower. UoM survey shows improved sentiment and easing inflation expectations in the US. ECB decision, EU PMIs, and US macro data in focus for the week ahead. The EUYR/USD finished Friday’s session with gains of over 0.26% amid a weaker US Dollar, following dovish
EUR/USD posts first weekly loss in three weeks, ending at 1.1688. Trump eyes blanket tariffs, including on EU and copper exports. Dollar marks strongest week since March amid broad risk-off tone. EUR/USD finished the week with losses of over 0.70% and ended Friday’s session down 0.10% trading below the 1.1700 figure, cementing the case for
Gold remains under pressure as risk-on sentiment continues to influence market trends. Fed Chair Powell and President Trump clash over the timing of interest rate cuts. A September rate cut is priced in but a rate cut in July could help drive Gold out of its range. XAU/USD hovers near the 50-day Simple Moving Average
INR recovers slightly on Friday, lifted by gains in domestic Stocks and a softer US Dollar. Brent Crude Oil trims recent gains but holds a weekly rise of over 4% so far as Middle East tensions persist. Equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty rally over 1% each, snapping a three-day losing streak. The Indian Rupee (INR)
WTI Crude trades near $74.58, up over 2.5% on the day after hitting an intraday high of $75.54. Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure spark fresh supply concerns and add a ~$10 per barrel geopolitical premium. Technicals remain bullish: price holds well above the 21-day EMA near $66.80; RSI at 74.21 signals overbought conditions. West Texas
USD/JPY trades above 144.00 as safe-haven flows boost the US Dollar amid rising Middle East tensions. BoJ is expected to hold rates steady, limiting support for the Yen despite earlier hawkish signals from Governor Ueda. Japan and the US prepare to meet at the G7 summit in Canada, where the two nations are expected to
Bullion rallies to five-week high amid geopolitical tension and dovish Fed outlook Israel strikes Iran, fueling fears of broader war and driving flight to safety into Gold. XAU/USD hits $3,446 before easing on profit-taking; eyes next week’s Fed decision and US data slate. Gold price rallied for the third consecutive day after the Israel-Iran conflict
