The return of “1970s-style stagflation” is no longer a distant tail risk—it is fast becoming the central theme driving global markets. The clearest warning sign is the emergence of a “dual shock” of rising oil prices and climbing Treasury yields. In a typical geopolitical crisis, investors seek safety in bonds, pushing yields lower. This time, […]
Trump joked about the “Strait of Trump” as the Iran war enters month two, with Hormuz disruptions persisting. Mixed signals on talks continue, while US stocks fell for a fifth week and NATO commitment concerns resurfaced. Summary Trump joked about the “Strait of Trump,” underscoring its central role in the Iran war and global oil
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After all, without a concrete resolution to the still-blockaded Strait of Hormuz and a real, long-term guarantee that the conflict won’t escalate further, Markets cannot rally. Traders need trust to return to persistent buying of already elevated valuations. Particularly given that Wall Street fiercely held the initial rise in WTI and the US Dollar, it
Markets: WTI crude oil up $5.59 to $100.07 S&P 500 down 1.7% to 6368 Gold up $135 to $4513 US 10-year yields up 3.6 bps to 5.00% Bitcoin down 4.2% USD leads, GBP lags It was an ugly one for most markets today, with the exception of gold and oil. The Nasdaq fell to a
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US Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks after G7 meeting of foreign ministers: We had a really good meeting at G7 we expect the Iran operation to conclude at the appropriate time, we are talking weeks not months. Iran may decide to set up a tolling system on the Strait of Hormuz. There are no
2026.03.27 2026.03.27 10 Strongest Economies in the World in 2026 Oleg Tkachenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/oleg-tkachenko/ The United States and China are widely regarded as the largest economies in the world, with their macroeconomic indicators shaping global GDP and setting the tone for economic activity in the world, as highlighted in the IMF World Economic Outlook. However, countries like
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
Latvia’s retail sales growth moderated in February after rebounding in the previous month, figures from the Central Statistical Bureau showed on Friday. Retail sales rose a calendar-adjusted 4.3 percent year-over-year in February, slower than the 6.4 percent surge in January. Sales have been rising since June last year. The annual sales growth in non-food products,
US stock markets hover above critical support levels as Middle East war enters second month Investors and traders have been on tenterhooks over the past few weeks but are getting increasingly concerned as the war in the Middle East enters its first month. Two scenarios dominate market thinking One scenario is escalation, where the US
Risk-off sentiment has returned to the fore as the US session approaches, with Dollar breaking out against Yen and Swiss Franc while Brent crude rebounds to $108. While US President Donald Trump has extended the Iran strike pause to April 6, markets are increasingly viewing this as a “thin veil” for a tactical realignment rather
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2026.03.27 2026.03.27 USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 27.03.26–03.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 157.93 with a target of 161.00–163.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 157.93. Stop Loss: below 157.93, Take Profit: 161.00–163.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below
I would not rush into any decision, prefer to be more cautious Still need to assess whether this should be looked through or whether we should be making a rate decision We don’t have sufficient information to make a decision for now I think we are still along the baseline We haven’t seen anything that
UK retail sales decreased for the first time in three months in February, though at a slower-than-expected pace, data from the Office for National Statistics showed on Friday. The seasonally adjusted retail sales volume posted a monthly fall of 0.4 percent in February, reversing a 2.0 percent growth in January, which was the strongest growth
A hawkish stance or guidance from the US Federal Reserve does not necessarily result in sustained US dollar strength, as the currency’s trajectory is ultimately shaped by relative monetary policy dynamics across other major developed market central banks. The European Central Bank (ECB) has voiced concerns of stagflation risk arising from the ongoing US-Iran war
