Is USD/JPY heading back to 160? For now, the answer is no—but the risk is clearly building as global yield dynamics shift and geopolitical tensions intensify. The Yen is back under pressure today, driven primarily by widening rate differentials as US and European yields continue to climb. The US 10-year Treasury yield has surged above […]
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2026.05.05 2026.05.05 Yen Jumps Briefly After Intervention in Forex. Forecast as of 05.05.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ As long as oil prices continue to rise and the Bank of Japan refrains from raising interest rates, carry traders are likely to continue selling the yen. Against this backdrop, Japan’s currency interventions are unlikely to be effective or to
The broader market mood continues to be driven by US-Iran developments and after the he said, she said episode yesterday, we’re seeing a rather quiet period today. The US continues to reaffirm that it is establishing some presence in the Strait of Hormuz, while Iran is maintaining that they are the ones still in control.
Switzerland’s consumer price inflation accelerated for the second straight month in April to the highest level in more than a year, the Federal Statistical Office reported on Tuesday. The consumer price index climbed 0.6 percent on a yearly basis in April, faster than March’s increase of 0.3 percent. Moreover, a similar inflation rate was last
In the ongoing arm-wrestle between single- and multi-dealer platforms, the latter have an inbuilt advantage. MDPs allow users to obtain prices from a range of competing firms. But SDPs have their own edge. They can offer an array of complementary services – not just prices – and they have access to the deeper pockets and
Macro update Geopolitics weigh on risk sentiment: Asian equities fell and European futures pointed lower as renewed US-Iran strikes in the Gulf undermined a fragile truce and kept investors risk-averse. Oil remains elevated despite pullback: Brent and WTI eased after recent sharp gains but stayed above $100 per barrel, with disruption risks in the Strait of Hormuz maintaining a
Dollar is rising as risk aversion creeps back into global markets as the US–Iran ceasefire comes under increasing strain. Developments over the past 48 hours suggest the fragile truce is under mounting pressure, raising the risk of renewed escalation. However, price action indicates investors are bracing for further conflict rather than pricing a full-blown crisis—for
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Key takeaways RBA decision in focus with hawkish bias: Markets are pricing a third consecutive 25 bps hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia to 4.35%, with guidance from Governor Bullock key for shaping expectations on further tightening and AUD direction. AUD/USD holding bullish structure for now: AUD/USD remains supported above 0.7130 within an ascending
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem told parliament he expects the Federal Reserve’s culture and conduct to continue unchanged under its incoming chairman, dismissing concerns about Fed independence post-Powell. Macklem was speaking Monday afternoon Canada time. Summary: Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said he believes the culture and conduct of the US Federal Reserve
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The USS Truxtun and USS Mason transited the Strait of Hormuz under a sustained Iranian barrage of small boats, missiles and drones, entering the Persian Gulf without either vessel being struck, per US defense officials. Summary: Two US Navy destroyers, the USS Truxtun and USS Mason, successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz and entered the
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ECB professional forecasters have raised eurozone inflation expectations to 2.7% for 2026 while cutting growth forecasts to 1.0%, with energy costs from the Middle East war cited as the primary driver. Summary: The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters for Q2 2026 showed headline inflation expectations revised sharply upward to 2.7% for 2026, up from a
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New York Fed President Williams spoke earlier, says US inflation will hold around 3% this year as Middle East energy disruptions cloud the outlook, while warning oil markets may be too relaxed about supply shock risks investingLive Exclusive 10m ago Source link
