The market narrative has flipped again—and the stakes are rising. The abrupt shift in the Strait of Hormuz—from briefly “open” to once again under strict military control within 24 hours—has underscored just how fragile the current ceasefire is. What initially looked like the beginning of de-escalation has quickly reverted to uncertainty, forcing investors to reassess […]
Iran has come out with a statement that the US has failed to live up to their end of the bargain. And as such, the Iranian military has moved to “close” the Strait of Hormuz once again. Iran is claiming that the US “did not fulfill their obligations” as the naval blockade is still ongoing.
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Markets: You can’t shake the feeling that there will be at least one more twist in this saga but all signs were positive on Friday as Iran announced the Strait was reopening and Trump said a deal is coming in a day or two. That led to a $10 drop in oil prices and the
Oil prices collapsed nearly 10% since yesterday, completely erasing their previous rally to trade comfortably right below the $90 handle. Notably, clear signs of insider trading emerged in the Crude market just before the announcement—a continuation of the wild market craziness that has defined Trump’s second term, but certainly not a first. Moving forward, physical
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Trump is out with an interview with CBS reiterating that the US will get Iran’s uranium. “Our people, together with the Iranians are going to work together to go get it. And then we’ll take it to the United States,” he said. However, Iran’s Parliamentary National Security Committee Spokesman tells Al Jazeera they will not
Oil has ticked higher on some headlines tossing up some skepticism about a US-Iran deal. Reuters cited a senior unnamed Iranian official: Significant differences remain, including on nuclear issues Serious talks required Keeping Strait of Hormuz open is conditional on adherence to ceasefire terms A preliminary deal could be reached within the coming days, with
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
Dollar tumbles again in early US session as oil prices dive on fresh geopolitical progress. A sharp selloff has pushed WTI back toward the mid-$80s and Brent into the low-$90s. The move reflects increasingly aggressive positioning ahead of the second round of US-Iran talks, with markets no longer waiting for confirmation but actively pricing a
2026.04.17 2026.04.17 XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 17.04.26–24.04.26 Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/ The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 4,353.90 with a target of 5,610.00–6,000.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 4,353.90. Stop Loss: below 4,280.00, Take Profit: 5,610.00–6,000.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below
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FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Silver has been outperforming gold recently amid tailwinds like lower real yields, looser financial conditions and lower US dollar. The momentum and volatility have certainly not been the same since the late January’s crash. The key difference has been the Fed which has pivoted away from the dovish stance. Nonetheless, silver should remain
With discounters continuing to gain ground and pricing pressure intensifying across the sector, the upcoming results will be a key test of whether Sainsbury’s recent market-share gains can be sustained without eroding profitability. Strong market position but competitive pressures Sainsbury’s remains firmly positioned as the UK’s number-two grocer, with an estimated market share of around 14–15%, trailing Tesco but
Key takeaways DJIA lagging but poised for catch-up: While other major US indices have posted gains post ceasefire, the Dow has underperformed but is now showing signs of a bullish catch-up above key support at 47,895. Macro tailwind improving for financials: Stabilisation and potential re-steepening of the US yield curve could boost bank profitability, supporting
Macro Update Asia equities steady after rally: Stocks paused on Friday, with MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan down 0.8%, though the region remains on track for a second weekly gain and has largely recovered losses from the Iran war. Oil holds below $100: Brent eased to around $94 as ceasefire hopes and potential US-Iran talks reduced supply concerns, although the Strait
