Forecasting the USCrude price requires taking into account fundamental, geopolitical, and technical factors. The dynamics of crude oil not only shape the global economic environment but also depend heavily on exporting countries’ decisions, macroeconomic indicators, and unexpected events.
In this review, we will examine the outlook for oil prices over the upcoming trading sessions, assess prospects for the week ahead, and outline key benchmarks for the coming month. The forecast takes into account the current supply-demand balance, speculative positioning, and the latest geopolitical developments.
The article covers the following subjects:
Expert Technical Analysis for USCrude for Today
The 4-hour chart shows the following signals:
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A Doji candlestick pattern (1) emerged near $93.76, pointing to continued uncertainty in the market. Bulls attempted to push the price to $94.99, but bears drove the price back down. A Dark Cloud Cover pattern (2) formed, signaling a price reversal to the downside.
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MACD has started to decline in a positive zone, signaling that bullish momentum is weakening.
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The RSI is moving neutrally, with values holding at 59, and could either rise or fall.
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The MFI has reached the upper range, indicating a high liquidity level.
- The VWAP and SMA20 are below the market price, suggesting that bulls still have the upper hand in the market.
Trading Plan for USCrude for Today
Oil forecast for today:
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Key support levels: $92.50, $89.72, $87.30, $85.09, $82.67, $80.53, $78.42, $76.02, $73.91, $71.84.
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Key resistance levels: $94.99, $97.41, $99.69, $102.18, $104.54, $106.74, $109.09, $111.23, $113.51.
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Base scenario: Open short positions (1) below $92.50. Targets: $89.72, $87.30, $85.09, $82.67, $80.53, $78.42, $76.02, $73.91, and $71.84. Stop Loss (3): $93.76.
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Alternative scenario: Open long positions (2) above the $94.99 level, with price targets at $97.41, $99.69, $102.18, $104.54, $106.74, $109.09, $111.23, and $113.51. Stop Loss: $93.76.
The analysis is provided by Alan Tsagaraev.
Alan Tsagaraev is an independent trader and analyst specializing in stock, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrency markets. He holds a degree in Economics and has been a professional investor and financial market trader since 2019. Over the course of his career, he has increased his capital more than tenfold.
USCrude Real-Time Market Status
USCrude is trading at $96.350 as of 13.03.2026.
Oil Price Forecast for Tomorrow
The oil market will be closed on March 14 and 15, 2026. When trading resumes on March 16, the price of USCrude may fluctuate within the $89.72–$94.99 range, with oil quotes moving in both directions.
USCrude price prediction tomorrow:
|
Date |
Daily Low, $ |
Daily High, $ |
Average Price, $ |
|
16.03.2026 |
87.30 |
99.69 |
93.49 |
Oil Price Forecast for Next Week
Oil prices are expected to remain highly volatile this week amid the release of US Crude Oil Inventories data and other macroeconomic indicators, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
USCRUDE price prediction this week:
|
Date |
Weekly Low, $ |
Weekly High, $ |
Average Price, $ |
|
16.03.2026– 22.03.2026 |
78.42 |
106.74 |
92.58 |
Oil Price Prediction for Next 30 Days
USCrude is expected to rise over the next month due to seasonal demand growth and continued OPEC+ production constraints. The target range is $99.43–$102.20. Volatility is likely to remain elevated amid geopolitical tensions and mixed US macroeconomic data.
USCRUDE price prediction 30 days:
|
Month |
Monthly Low, $ |
Monthly High, $ |
Average Price, $ |
|
March |
67.29 |
119.48 |
93.38 |
USCrude Outlook: Market Sentiment and Key Events for the Next 30 Days
The following factors may affect the price of USCrude:
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Many global leaders have stated their readiness to intervene in the Middle East conflict in order to limit the impact of the war in Iran on global energy markets.
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G7 countries have instructed the International Energy Agency (IEA) to urgently develop plans to release strategic oil reserves onto the market.
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US President Donald Trump announced a temporary suspension of several sanctions restricting oil trade, which is expected to increase supply. In early March, the US Treasury announced a 30-day lifting of the ban on Indian refineries purchasing Russian oil. This measure should ensure a steady flow of oil to the global market.
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At the same time, Trump ordered the US Navy to provide military escorts for commercial tankers passing through the strategically important Strait of Hormuz to secure oil transportation routes. He also noted that the administration remains open to dialogue with Tehran.
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Despite a sharp correction following the initial surge, oil prices remain elevated. These prices reflect market concerns that the conflict could disrupt oil supplies from the Middle East for an extended period, as the region remains the world’s main oil producer.
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Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE were forced to cut oil production by a combined 6.7 million barrels per day as a precautionary measure. The reasons include both direct threats to infrastructure and disruptions in logistics chains.
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Mar. 13 — US Q3 2025 GDP data, University of Michigan 5-year consumer inflation expectations index, and total Baker Hughes US rig count.
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Mar. 16 — US February industrial production data.
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Mar. 17 — The American Petroleum Institute (API) releases its weekly report on changes in US crude oil stock.
- Mar. 18 — February Producer Price Index (PPI) data, Crude Oil Inventories, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.
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Mar. 19 — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for March.
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Mar. 20 — Total Baker Hughes US rig count data.
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Mar. 24 — March PMI data for the manufacturing and services sectors.
Price Analysis and Forecasting Methodology
Our daily Oil price analysis and forecasting methodology includes:
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Analysis of fundamental factors and expert opinions influencing USCrude short-term price movements.
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Technical analysis of the asset’s charts from H1 to H4 time frames, including identification of key support and resistance levels, examination of technical indicators, and study of candlestick and chart patterns.
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Assessment of market sentiment through the analysis of posts and comments on social media, offering insights into the oil price’s next move.
Oil (USCrude) Price Forecast FAQs
The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.
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