Technical analysis of the S&P 500 as it rallies towards its record high while EUR/GBP finds support and the silver rally slows down.


Macro update

​Asian equities rally: Regional indices climbed to a six-week high, led by gains in Japan and South Korea, as optimism around potential US-Iran peace talks lifted risk sentiment.

​Wall Street strength carries over: The S&P 500 closed near record levels while the Nasdaq extended its winning streak, supported by softer-than-expected US producer inflation data.

​Oil volatility persists: Brent rebounded towards $95 but remained below $100, as markets weighed hopes for renewed diplomacy against ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.

​Supply constraints remain acute: The strait is still largely shut, forcing refiners to source alternative barrels at elevated premiums despite tentative ceasefire conditions.

​Dollar steadies, yields ease: The US dollar stabilised after a seven-day decline, while Treasury yields edged lower as easing inflation concerns and geopolitical optimism supported bonds.

​Gold slips on risk-on mood: Bullion retreated from recent highs as improved sentiment reduced safe-haven demand, although prices remain underpinned by elevated oil-driven inflation risks.



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