ICYMI – OPEC+ hiked output more than expected. What will they do next?


The news from the weekend from OPEC+ meeting, raising oil output more than expected:

  • OPEC+ to raise output by 548,000 bpd in August vs 411,000 bpd in July

In effect, the decision returns nearly 80% of the 2.2 million bpd
voluntary cuts from eight OPEC producers back in the market

  • actual output increase has been smaller than planned so far
  • most of the supply has been from Saudi Arabia

OPEC+ cited

  • steady global economic outlook
  • healthy
    market fundamentals
  • low oil inventories

as reasons
for releasing more oil.

Analysts have responded with:

  • increased production represents a more
    aggressive competition for market share
  • OPEC+ showing some tolerance for
    the resulting decline in both prices and revenue

The price response:

  • Oil prices fell just over 1% at the Globex open on Sunday evening US time

Goldman Sachs expects an slightly bigger boost at the next meeting, scheduled for August 3:

  • expect a final 550,000
    bpd increase for September

Update:

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.



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