RBC expects global central banks to largely hold rates despite oil-driven inflation risks, with policymakers prioritising growth concerns, while the RBA remains an outlier with further tightening likely. Summary: RBC expects major central banks to hold rates despite oil-driven inflation risks Energy shock seen as dampening growth, reducing urgency to hike Fed, BoC, ECB, and […]
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
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If you’ve been using AI lately, you know the discourse. It’s been a frustrating few weeks for the power users and there’s a growing chorus on Reddit and X that the latest updates from Google and Anthropic have been “nerfed”—shaved down at the edges, made more cautious, and frankly, a bit dumber in the name
Industrial production in the U.S. unexpectedly decreased in the month of March, according to a report released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday. The Fed said industrial production fell by 0.5 percent in March after climbing by 0.7 percent in February. Economists had expected industrial production to inch up by 0.1 percent compared to the
The dollar do-si-do: hedgers review FX moves – FX Markets Skip to main content End of drawer navigation content Brief return of US dollar to safe-haven status amid Iran upheaval prompts real money investors to pause hedging activity If investors and traders have learnt one lesson during the presidencies of Donald J Trump, it’s that
A report released by the Labor Department on Thursday showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits pulled back by more than expected in the week ended April 11th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 218,000. Subscribe to continue reading the
Risk sentiment remains firm, but momentum is no longer accelerating. Markets are holding near recent highs as optimism over Middle East de-escalation continues to underpin sentiment, with US futures pointing to another strong open and the potential for fresh record highs in the S&P 500. At the same time, the tone is measured rather than
US equity markets reach record highs despite Middle East conflict and elevated oil prices The resilience of US equity markets in the face of geopolitical turmoil and elevated energy prices has become one of the defining features of the current macro environment. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 are trading at or near record
2026.04.16 2026.04.16 Pound On Right Track. Forecast as of 16.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The UK government and the Bank of England appear to have made the right decisions, as reflected in February’s GDP growth figures. However, the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East in March changed the landscape entirely. How did GBP/USD quotes respond, and what
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Key takeaways Strong rally driven by risk-on sentiment: AUD/USD surged ~360 pips from late-March lows, supported by US–Iran ceasefire optimism and its high-beta sensitivity to global risk assets, outperforming most major currencies. Short-term pullback likely: The recent three-week bullish move appears overstretched, with technical signals pointing to a minor mean reversion decline after testing the
Bitcoin price prediction: Maybe something like this (watch $80k area on bitcoin futures) Bitcoin futures 4h chart showing a possible path to $80k Bitcoin Price Analysis on the Above 4h Chart: The Path to $80,000 The current technical setup suggests Bitcoin is entering a “price discovery” phase within its established ascending corridor. While the trend
Aussie strength is telling the story of markets today. The currency has emerged as the top performer, driven by a combination of improving global risk sentiment and robust domestic labor data, with AUD/USD rising to its highest level since late 2022 and approaching the key 0.72 resistance. The move reflects growing confidence that US-Iran tensions
The Netherlands’ unemployment rate decreased slightly in March, data from the Central Bureau of Statistics showed on Thursday. The seasonally adjusted ILO jobless rate dropped to 4.0 percent in March from 4.1 percent in February. In the corresponding month last year, the jobless rate was 3.9 percent. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This article
Kelvin Wong Senior Market Analyst Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an
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