Risk aversion has returned to global markets following a high-stakes ultimatum from US President Donald Trump, signaling a breakdown in the 15-point Iran negotiation. As Brent crude rebounds above $105, the focus has shifted to the Saturday, March 28 expiration of the five-day strike pause. Trump’s shift from “productive talks” to warnings of “military obliteration”
Brazil’s mid-month consumer inflation decelerated in March 2026, with the Mid-Month CPI registering a 0.44% month-over-month rise, down from a 0.84% increase in February. The latest reading, updated on 26 March 2026, signals a notable easing in price pressures compared with the previous month. On a month-over-month basis, the indicator shows that price growth in
Headlines: Markets: WTI crude oil up over 3% to $93.35, Brent crude oil up 4% to $106.30 European equities drop back lower; S&P 500 futures down 0.8% US dollar holds slightly firmer across the board 10-year Treasury yields up over 5 bps to 4.38% Gold down 1.4% to $4,442, Silver down 4.5% to $68.03 As
2026.03.26 2026.03.26 Yen Slides Amid Rising Oil Pressures. Forecast as of 26.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The Japanese government doubts that intervening in the Forex market will drive the USD/JPY pair down. The US dollar is strong amid surging Brent crude prices. Let’s discuss this and develop a trading plan. The article covers the following subjects: Major
Hong Kong’s trade deficit increased notably in February from a year ago as imprts grew faster than exports, data from the Census and Statistics Department showed on Thursday. The trade shortfall rose to HK$64.2 billion in February from HK$36.3 billion in the same month last year. In January, the trade balance showed a deficit of
The macro connection between WTI crude oil and Gold is stagflation risk. Higher oil prices via supply side shock (closure of the Strait of Hormuz leads to a lesser oil supply globally, in turn, also creating a second-order effect of lower aggregate demand as input costs of finalized goods and services get more expensive). Hence,
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2026.03.26 2026.03.26 US Dollar Firms as US–Iran De-Escalation Remains Uncertain. Forecast as of 26.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Despite divergent monetary policies, the EUR/USD pair continues to track oil price movements. At the same time, Brent is driven by shifting headlines and rumors surrounding US–Iran negotiations. However, for now, Washington and Tehran are far from reaching an
The stalled US-Iran negotiations have shifted global “Fear Trade” focus toward the Strait of Hormuz’s role as a critical fertilizer bottleneck. With 35% of global Urea exports at risk, benchmark prices have surged, creating a “pincer effect” for the Australian Dollar. Despite high commodity prices, rising input costs for the 2026 winter crop are neutralizing
The NZX 50 added 48 points, or 0.4%, to close at 12,977 on Thursday, extending the previous session’s advance as Wall Street gained on Wednesday. Sentiment was buoyed by renewed optimism over a potential de-escalation of the Iran conflict. Risk appetite also improved following news that U.S. President Donald Trump will visit Beijing on May
In summary: Oil edges higher as geopolitical risk steadily builds Conflicting US-Iran messaging keeps uncertainty elevated Iran denies talks, US insists negotiations underway US claims major degradation of Iran’s military capability Israeli airstrikes continue, Iran hits regional targets Trump pushes for quick end but sets hard deadline Ground operation risk rising (Kharg Island / Hormuz
WSJ (gated) flags Taiwan risk as China tests Trump’s transactional policy stance. Summary: WSJ flags rising uncertainty in US Taiwan policy China sees opportunity in Trump’s approach Taiwan potentially part of broader negotiations Focus on subtle shifts in policy language Arms sales pause signals softer stance risk China increasing military and diplomatic pressure US distracted
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Producer prices in Japan were up 2.7 percent on year in February, the Bank of Japan said on Thursday – following two straight months at 2.6 percent. On a monthly basis, producer prices were up 0.2 percent after sinking 0.5 percent in January. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This article is part of our
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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
US says Iran’s military capability heavily degraded as strikes hit production base Info via Times of Israel Summary: US has struck over 10,000 targets in Iran Two-thirds of arms production facilities destroyed Joint US-Israel operations expanded strike impact 92% of Iran’s largest naval vessels destroyed Iran’s naval power projection largely eliminated Missile and drone attacks
