Twin pillars support 2026 outlook The case for the FTSE 100 in 2026 rests on two pillars: earnings resilience and a more supportive Bank of England (BoE). Both appear likely to contribute positively, even if the journey is expected to be choppier than the strong and steady gains seen during most of 2025. The FTSE 100
A senior Singapore regulator has warned that Asia’s likely move to T+1 settlement must be carefully managed to avoid introducing new risks into the region’s financial infrastructure. Ian Chung, executive director of the markets, infrastructures and intermediaries department at the Monetary Authority of Singapore, said he saw a move to T+1 settlement as inevitable for
The USDCAD pushed higher in early trading after the release of U.S. initial jobless claims, which showed a sharper-than-expected decline. Claims fell to 191K, well below the 220K expected. While the report covers the Thanksgiving week—a period often distorted by seasonal factors—the broader takeaway is that the U.S. labor market continues to reflect a low-hire,
Global markets have steadied heading into US session, with equity futures pointing to a flat open after yesterday’s strong rally. Early optimism from Japan and Europe faded through the day, leaving investors cautious but not materially risk-off. The backdrop is one of consolidation rather than clear direction. US jobless claims delivered a notable surprise, falling
The Pound Sterling (GBP) clings to gains near its over-a-month high around 1.3350 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday. The GBP/USD pair demonstrates strength as the US Dollar remains on back foot amid reinforced dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations and the Pound Sterling continues to outperform since the budget
Macro update US stocks rise on renewed rate-cut expectations: Equities closed higher after ADP and ISM services data strengthened expectations of a December Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut, with markets pricing an 89% probability of a 25bp move. Shutdown-driven data gaps muddy the outlook: The record 43-day US government shutdown has delayed major releases, forcing
USD/JPY outlook remains weak as the dollar tumbles after weaker ADP data. The increasing odds of BoJ rate hikes provide moderate support to the yen. Rising JGB yields and FX intervention warnings weigh on the USD/JPY. The USD/JPY price is attempting to stabilize on Thursday after a sharp fall in the previous session. The pair
2025.12.04 2025.12.04 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 04.12.2025 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Gold’s price is pulling
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Dollar attempted a mild recovery in Asia today, but the uptick lacked conviction and failed to alter the broader picture of USD underperformance. The greenback remains the weakest major this week, with selling pressure intensifying after Wednesday’s sharp drop in ADP employment that reinforced concerns about labor-market deterioration. Expectations for a 25bps Fed cut next
Judging by media coverage, those paying the highest price so far are recent graduates, whose job search has become much more difficult with the rise of OpenAI. And indeed, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, unemployment among young people aged 20 to 24 with a bachelor’s degree or higher reached 9.5% in
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges lower against the rebounding US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday, though any meaningful depreciation seems elusive. Traders ramped up their bets for an imminent rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) following Governor Kazuo Ueda’s remarks earlier this week. Moreover, a survey showed on Wednesday that
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said the central bank is working to narrow its estimate of Japan’s neutral interest rate, the level neither stimulating nor restraining the economy, and will disclose its findings if the assessment becomes sufficiently precise. For now, he said policymakers still rely on a “fairly wide range,” underscoring the uncertainty
The NZD/USD pair edges lower to near 0.5765 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday, bolstered by renewed US dollar (USD) demand. Nonetheless, the potential downside for the pair might be limited amid the prospect of the US interest rate cut next week. The US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report will be the highlight later
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The yuan is edging toward the closely watched 7-per-dollar level, lifted by improving US–China relations and a softer dollar, though the speed of its rise suggests Beijing is carefully managing the appreciation. Info via a (gated) Bloomberg report. In brief. China’s onshore yuan strengthened to around 7.06 on Wednesday, its firmest level in more than
