Many thought Donald Trump’s return to the White House would mainly boost cryptocurrencies, sending BTC/USD and the broader market to new highs. However, the reality has been somewhat different. Since the start of the year, Bitcoin prices have declined by more than 7%, although it reached a new all-time high in October. Stocks, meanwhile, have […]
2025.12.29 2025.12.29 US Dollar Sets Stage For Recovery. Forecast as of 29.12.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Strong US economic data could trigger a pullback in the EUR/USD pair. Rising Treasury yields, fueled by fears of spiralling inflation, will likely bolster the US dollar. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. The article covers the following subjects:
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The defining narrative in the foreign exchange market for 2025 is a tug of war between “US exceptionalism – US dollar strong” and “US debasement – US dollar weak”. At the start of 2025, market consensus leaned heavily toward a bearish outlook for the US dollar, anchored on the new Trump administration’s aggressive fiscal agenda.
Christmas Day/Boxing Day/Weekend: TL;DR summary: Silver hit fresh record highs above US$83 before a sharp pullback, with volatility driven by strong industrial demand and supply concerns Elon Musk warned higher silver prices are problematic for industry, highlighting EVs’ heavy reliance on the metal China industrial profits slumped 13.1% y/y in November, underscoring persistent deflation and
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The Australian Dollar (AUD) rises against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, maintaining its position around a 14-month high of 0.6724, reached on December 26. The AUD/USD pair strengthens as the Aussie Dollar finds support amid growing expectations of interest rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The RBA’s December Meeting Minutes indicated
TL;DR summary: Elon Musk flags concern over potential silver supply restrictions Social media claims point to tighter Chinese export controls from 2026 Silver is critical for EVs, electronics and renewable technologies China dominates global silver supply chains Markets alert to parallels with rare earth export curbs – Silver prices have attracted renewed volatility after comments
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Daily and intraday structure remain aligned following the December 19 pivot reclaim Nasdaq March Futures (NQH) – Asia, London and New York Market context This update is a direct continuation of the desk work published on December 19, using the same daily and intraday charts and reference levels mapped ahead of the move. The objective
TL;DR summary: Industrial profits fell 13.1% y/y in November, the steepest decline in over a year Weak domestic demand and factory-gate deflation outweighed export resilience Coal sector profits slumped sharply, dragging aggregate performance Autos and high-tech manufacturing remained relative bright spots Markets continue to expect further policy support in 2026 to stabilise growth China’s industrial
We are all is trying to gauge if this is the “Peace Dividend” moment or just more of the usual negotiation bluster. Trump says they are in the “final stages” of talking and believes both Putin and Zelensky want a deal. Promises a “strong” security agreement is coming. He’s calling European leaders today and plans
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In the first eleven months of 2025, China’s industrial firms experienced a modest profit increase of 0.1% year over year, reaching CNY 6.63 trillion. This marks a significant deceleration from the 1.9% growth recorded in the preceding period, attributed to waning demand and persistent pricing pressures. Earnings in the private sector saw a slight decline,
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