In case you haven’t seen our introduction to bond yields and an explanation on their recent moves, I formally invite you to read it over which may help you to understand some of tomorrow’s moves. Recent movements in Bonds: Why are government bond yields rising so much as of late? What is the Fed Funds […]
Fed rate cut pricing is shifting slightly in the hawkish direction but it isn’t helping the US dollar. At one point, three Fed cuts were fully priced into the curve for 2025 but that 75 bps in pricing has slipped to 68 bps. Some of that might be due to the stay on the firing
Industrial production in the U.S. unexpectedly edged slightly higher in the month of August, according to a report released by the Federal Reserve on Tuesday. The Fed said industrial production crept up by 0.1 percent in August after falling by a downwardly revised 0.4 percent in July. Economists had expected industrial production to slip by
August typically produces average losses of approximately 2.3%, making it the weakest month historically for German equities. September follows closely behind with losses averaging 1.7%, creating a two-month period of consistent underperformance. These patterns reflect reduced trading volumes during summer holidays and portfolio rebalancing ahead of year-end. The consistency of this seasonal weakness provides valuable
Political turmoil rattles Turkish lira carry trade – FX Markets Skip to main content End of drawer navigation content Echoes of March crackdown that sparked market rout leave traders on alert Fears of further political turmoil in Turkey have sparked nervous reactions from foreign investors who had piled back into the lira carry trade after
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Prior month 0.5% revised to 0.6% Retail sales 0.6% versus 0.2% expected. Retail sales ex-autos 0.7% vs 0.4% estimate. Last month revised from 0.3% to 0.4%. Retail sales control group 0.7% versus 0.4% estimate retail sales ex gas/autos 0.7% versus 0.3% last month (revised higher from 0.2%) The control group moved up by 0.7% and
German economic confidence improved in September but financial market experts remained cautiously optimistic, a monthly survey conducted by the think tank ZEW showed on Tuesday. The ZEW indicator of economic confidence rose unexpectedly to 37.3 in September from 34.7 in the previous month. The score was expected to fall to 27.3. However, the assessment of
The USD/CAD outlook suggests resilience in Canada’s manufacturing sector. Canada’s factory sales expanded by 2.5% compared to the forecast of 1.8%. The Fed will likely cut rates by 25-bps. The USD/CAD outlook suggests resilience in Canada’s manufacturing sector despite tariff uncertainty. As a result, the Canadian dollar has rallied since the previous session despite expectations
This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “GBP/USD Technical: Corrective decline ended, potential bullish reversal in progress for sterling”, published on 5 September 2025. The price actions of the sterling have staged the expected recovery against the US dollar, as the GBP/USD has rallied by 1.2% and almost hit
FTSE 100 remains flat as pound strength takes centre stage The FTSE 100 opened relatively unchanged this morning, tracking sideways movement across European indices. Despite the muted performance, underlying strength emerged from mid-cap stocks, with the FTSE 250 gaining 0.2% in early trading. Market participants appeared focused on currency movements rather than on the FTSE. The
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2025.09.16 2025.09.16 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 16.09.2025 Alex Rodiоnovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ I welcome my fellow traders! I have made a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of margin zones methodology and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Oil quotes follow
Prior 4.7% Employment change 232k vs 220k expected Prior 238k Average weekly earnings +4.7% vs +4.7% 3m/y expected Prior +4.6% Average weekly earnings (ex bonus +4.8% vs +4.8% 3m/y expected Prior +5.0% August payrolls change -8k Prior -8k; revised to -6k This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. Source link
Kelvin Wong Senior Market Analyst Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an
Discover how European markets rise despite Fitch’s credit downgrade of France. Source link
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