2025.06.18 2025.06.18 S&P 500 Gazes Into Abyss. Forecast as of 18.06.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ For an extended period, the S&P 500 index largely disregarded external factors, including trade wars, geopolitical events in the Middle East, and unfavorable macroeconomic statistics in the United States. Investors have since come to recognize their misjudgment. Let’s discuss this topic and […]
Slovakia’s EU measure of inflation accelerated in May to the highest level in nearly one-and-a-half years, data from the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic showed on Wednesday. The EU measure of the harmonized index of consumer prices, or HICP, rose 4.3 percent year-on-year in May, faster than the 3.9 percent increase in April. Further,
The British pound has stabilized on Wednesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3551, up 0.28% on the day. The US dollar showed broad strength on Tuesday and GBP/USD declined 1.05% and fell to a three-week low. UK inflation ticks lower to 3.4% UK inflation for May edged lower to 3.4% y/y, down
2025.06.18 2025.06.18 Markets Fear Fed Hawkish Surprise. Forecast as of 18.06.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Despite President Trump’s calls for action, the US Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates in June, as the central bank’s role is not to address fiscal issues. Inflation expectations are more significant in this regard. Let’s discuss this topic and
Here was the CPI report for April as added context. The estimate this time around is for headline annual inflation to fall to 3.4% in May, down from 3.5% in April. And for core annual inflation, it is expected to drop to 3.5% from 3.8% previously. That being said, it is on the high side
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
2025.06.17 2025.06.18 Weekly Economic Calendar for 23.06.2025–29.06.2025 Jana Kanehttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/jana-kane/ The upcoming week is expected to be somewhat calmer compared to the previous turbulent one. Nonetheless, a number of key data releases are on the horizon, focusing mainly on the PMI and inflation figures from the world’s largest economies. Additionally, during the week of 23.06.2025–29.06.2025, market
The value of core machinery orders in Japan was down a seasonally adjusted 9.1 percent on month in April, the Cabinet Office said on Wednesday – coming in at 919-0 billion yen. That beat forecasts for a decline of 9.3 percent following the 13.0 percent jump in March. On a yearly basis, core machinery orders
The CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) Crude Oil Volatility Index is referred to as OVX. It shows implied volatility of options on United States Oil Fund (USO). tracks 30-day expected volatility in crude oil prices, derived from the pricing of USO options — similar to how the VIX measures expected equity volatility from S&P 500
New Zealand had a seasonally adjusted current account deficit of NZ$5.5 billion in the first quarter of 2025, Statistics New Zealand said on Wednesday. The current account deficit for the year ended March 2025 narrowed to NZ$24.7 billion (5.7 percent of gross domestic product (GDP)) compared with the NZ$27.6 billion deficit for the March 2024
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Zain Vawda Market Analyst Zain is an experienced financial markets analyst and educator with a rich tapestry of experience in the world of retail forex, economics, and market analysis. Initially starting out in a sales and business development role, his passion for economics and technical analysis propelled him towards a career as an analyst. He
The role of the US Dollar is always evolving, with different factors going from demand for USD-denominated assets, settling commodity trades, cross-currency trades and many others affecting the Reserve currency.A reminder that the Dollar had held impressive strength since the beginning of the 2022 hike cycle and 2025 Trump-Dollar nervosity has marked a longer-run top
USD/CAD trades near 1.3575 as markets digest a mixed US Retail Sales ahead of Wednesday’s Fed rate decision. Elevated Oil prices and geopolitical risks in the Middle East limit losses for the Canadian Dollar. USD/CAD remains in a descending wedge, while the Relative Strength Index signals a pause in bearish momentum. The Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Prior month business inventories 0.1%. Prior month retail inventories ex auto 0.3% Business inventories for April 0.0% versus 0.0% expected Total business inventories $2656.5 billion versus $2655.7 billion in March Retail inventories ex autos 0.3% versus 0.3% gain last month inventory to sales ratio came in at 1.38 in April 2025. That compares to 1.40
