New LLMs are proving to be surprisingly good quants – FX Markets Skip to main content End of drawer navigation content Strides in AI’s ability to do maths mean models can plausibly help with research In late January, Mark Higgins, the retired co-founder of fintech company Beacon Platforms and former co-head of quant research at […]
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar pulled back across the board in the first part of the week on what looks like profit-taking from extreme levels rather than a change in fundamentals as we haven’t got any meaningful catalyst to trigger a reversal yet. The focus remains on the US-Iran war as a prolonged conflict
Iceland’s central bank decided to raise the interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday as inflation expectations increased amid the escalation of the conflict in the Persian Gulf. The Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Iceland decided to raise the seven-day term deposit rate by 25 basis points to 7.50 percent. Subscribe
European shares, including the STOXX 600, extended their recovery for a third day, driven by easing oil prices and stronger overall market sentiment Oil prices (Brent and WTI) retreated due to the restart of crude exports from Iraq’s Kirkuk fields and a much larger-than-expected rise in US crude stocks. Focus shifts to the upcoming FOMC
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2026.03.18 2026.03.18 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 18.03.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Gold keeps trading
Markets were steady in Asian session today, with equities posting modest gains led by Japan, as investors showed signs of “war fatigue” amid the ongoing Middle East conflict. Despite continued escalation between Iran, Israel and the U.S., price action across major asset classes has become increasingly muted, suggesting that geopolitical risks are not the dominant
Amid a better risk mood so far this week, the dollar has also struggled a fair bit. The fate of the currency seems tied to oil prices, which are also losing a bit of traction despite WTI crude keeping above $90 levels. Likewise, the dollar might still be trading well higher compared to where we
The NZX 50 rose 133 points, or 1.0%, to close at 13,316 on Wednesday, building on gains from the previous session. The advance came amid stronger U.S. equity futures ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today and the release of its first economic projections for 2026. In China, New Zealand’s largest trading partner,
Bullish tactical signal: light positioning and washed-out sentiment raise the risk of a sharp upside squeeze in equities, potentially lifting the S&P 500 despite ongoing macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Summary: Barclays signals strongest equity buy opportunity in ~1 year Equity Timing Indicator drops to -8.3, “highly attractive” zone Historically linked to strong short-term equity returns
2026.03.17 2026.03.18 Weekly Economic Calendar for 23.03.2026–29.03.2026 Jana Kanehttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/jana-kane/ Following a turbulent and eventful week, the upcoming one, which is the final full trading week of March, will give market participants a chance to catch their breath and assess how the month has unfolded so far. In the coming week of March 23–29, 2026, market
Japan posted a seasonally adjusted merchandise trade surplus of 57.296 billion yen in February, the Ministry of Finance said on Wednesday. That exceeded expectations for a deficit of 485.0 billion yen following the downwardly revised 1.163 trillion yen shortfall in January (originally a deficit of 1.152 trillion yen). Subscribe to continue reading the article. This
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The USD/JPY pair is trading around 158.90, facing a high risk of FX intervention by the Japanese Ministry of Finance as it nears the 160.00 level. The week is dominated by a “central bank double-header,” with the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday and the Bank of Japan meeting on Thursday. Check out the possible scenario
Japan factory sentiment jumps to four-year high, but outlook softens on geopolitical risks. Summary: Japan Reuters Tankan: manufacturers sentiment +18 (prior +13) — highest since Dec 2021 Non-manufacturers steady at +25 (prior +25) June outlook: manufacturers seen at +14, non-manufacturers +21 Strength driven by semiconductors, chemicals, and transport machinery Weak spots include steel (still negative)
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more to come Oil markets are holding firm above the $100 mark, but underlying conditions suggest a far tighter global supply picture than benchmark stability implies. According to JPMorgan, the apparent resilience in Brent and WTI prices should not be mistaken for evidence of ample supply. Instead, it reflects a temporary buffer created by regional
