Kelvin Wong Senior Market Analyst Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an […]
Dollar and oil are rising together today as ceasefires extend—but conflict persists. Despite a three-week extension of the Israel–Hezbollah truce and the ongoing “indefinite” pause in US–Iran conflicts, markets are increasingly focused on what is still happening rather than what has been paused. Maritime seizures, naval blockades, and localized escalations continue to define the situation,
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Israel’s UN Ambassador Danon tells CNN the Lebanon ceasefire extension is “not 100%,” warning Hezbollah is firing rockets to sabotage the truce and the Lebanese government cannot control the group. (CNN/Truth Social). Summary: Trump announced via Truth Social that the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire has been extended by three weeks following an Oval Office meeting The meeting
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Japan core CPI rose 1.8% y/y in March, matching forecasts but staying below BOJ’s 2% target for a second month. Iran war energy shock seen pushing inflation higher in coming months. Summary Japan CPI (March 2026): Headline rate 1.5% y/y (prior 1.3%) Core CPI (Ex-Food) 1.8% y/y (vs. expected 1.8%, prior 1.6%) Core-core CPI (Ex-Food
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Trump threatens fresh UK tariffs unless London drops its 2% digital services tax on large US tech platforms. The levy raises £800m annually and has survived prior UK-US trade talks. Trump has threatened tariffs on the UK unless it scraps its Digital Services Tax The DST is a 2% levy on revenues from large digital
However, looking under the hood reveals some underlying issues. Much of this surging activity is actually being driven by front-loaded pre-orders, as businesses desperately stockpile goods due to fears of war-led supply chain shortages. This notably propelled Manufacturing way above Services. While this recent strength in global data is a welcome sign—especially as it accompanies
Markets: Gold down $47 to $4690 US 10-year yields up 3.1 bps to 4.325% S&P 500 down 30 points, or 0.4% USD leads, NZD lags WTI crude oil up $4.00 to $96.96 In terms of the war, no one really knows what is going on. Trump keeps saying he’s waiting for a response from Iran
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I’m not sure if this is reflective of Trump doing his usual raging at the media or a sign that he’s increasingly hawkish. The market hasn’t taken it badly. For those people, fewer in number now than ever before, that are reading The Failing New York Times, or watching Fake News CNN, that think that
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
AI and advertising at the core Artificial intelligence remains the central driver of Meta’s investment case. The company’s AI-powered tools — including Advantage+ advertising products — have improved return on ad spend for businesses, helping to attract higher marketing budgets. Meta is also expanding its AI ecosystem beyond advertising, with developments in in-house chips, smart glasses and next-generation user
Global PMI data for April paints a clear picture: the Iran war shock is now feeding through the world economy, but not in a uniform way. Rising energy costs and supply disruptions are hitting all major regions, yet the transmission differs sharply depending on economic structure, demand conditions, and policy constraints. What emerges is not
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