Macro update Geopolitics weigh on risk sentiment: Asian equities fell and European futures pointed lower as renewed US-Iran strikes in the Gulf undermined a fragile truce and kept investors risk-averse. Oil remains elevated despite pullback: Brent and WTI eased after recent sharp gains but stayed above $100 per barrel, with disruption risks in the Strait of Hormuz maintaining a
Dollar is rising as risk aversion creeps back into global markets as the US–Iran ceasefire comes under increasing strain. Developments over the past 48 hours suggest the fragile truce is under mounting pressure, raising the risk of renewed escalation. However, price action indicates investors are bracing for further conflict rather than pricing a full-blown crisis—for
‘, buttonPrevHTML: ”, }; function adaptBreadcrumbs() { let breadcrumbs = document.querySelectorAll(‘#header-breadcrumbs’); for(i = 0; i < breadcrumbs.length; i++) { let title = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.breadcrumbs-title’); let btns = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.btn-container:last-child’); if(btns && btns.children && btns.children.length) { if(parseInt(title.getBoundingClientRect().top + title.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2) == parseInt(btns.getBoundingClientRect().top + btns.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2)) { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”; } else { title.style=”flex-grow:0;”; } } else { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”;
Key takeaways RBA decision in focus with hawkish bias: Markets are pricing a third consecutive 25 bps hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia to 4.35%, with guidance from Governor Bullock key for shaping expectations on further tightening and AUD direction. AUD/USD holding bullish structure for now: AUD/USD remains supported above 0.7130 within an ascending
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem told parliament he expects the Federal Reserve’s culture and conduct to continue unchanged under its incoming chairman, dismissing concerns about Fed independence post-Powell. Macklem was speaking Monday afternoon Canada time. Summary: Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said he believes the culture and conduct of the US Federal Reserve
‘, buttonPrevHTML: ”, }; function adaptBreadcrumbs() { let breadcrumbs = document.querySelectorAll(‘#header-breadcrumbs’); for(i = 0; i < breadcrumbs.length; i++) { let title = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.breadcrumbs-title’); let btns = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.btn-container:last-child’); if(btns && btns.children && btns.children.length) { if(parseInt(title.getBoundingClientRect().top + title.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2) == parseInt(btns.getBoundingClientRect().top + btns.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2)) { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”; } else { title.style=”flex-grow:0;”; } } else { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”;
The USS Truxtun and USS Mason transited the Strait of Hormuz under a sustained Iranian barrage of small boats, missiles and drones, entering the Persian Gulf without either vessel being struck, per US defense officials. Summary: Two US Navy destroyers, the USS Truxtun and USS Mason, successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz and entered the
‘, buttonPrevHTML: ”, }; function adaptBreadcrumbs() { let breadcrumbs = document.querySelectorAll(‘#header-breadcrumbs’); for(i = 0; i < breadcrumbs.length; i++) { let title = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.breadcrumbs-title’); let btns = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.btn-container:last-child’); if(btns && btns.children && btns.children.length) { if(parseInt(title.getBoundingClientRect().top + title.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2) == parseInt(btns.getBoundingClientRect().top + btns.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2)) { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”; } else { title.style=”flex-grow:0;”; } } else { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”;
ECB professional forecasters have raised eurozone inflation expectations to 2.7% for 2026 while cutting growth forecasts to 1.0%, with energy costs from the Middle East war cited as the primary driver. Summary: The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters for Q2 2026 showed headline inflation expectations revised sharply upward to 2.7% for 2026, up from a
‘, buttonPrevHTML: ”, }; function adaptBreadcrumbs() { let breadcrumbs = document.querySelectorAll(‘#header-breadcrumbs’); for(i = 0; i < breadcrumbs.length; i++) { let title = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.breadcrumbs-title’); let btns = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.btn-container:last-child’); if(btns && btns.children && btns.children.length) { if(parseInt(title.getBoundingClientRect().top + title.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2) == parseInt(btns.getBoundingClientRect().top + btns.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2)) { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”; } else { title.style=”flex-grow:0;”; } } else { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”;
New York Fed President Williams spoke earlier, says US inflation will hold around 3% this year as Middle East energy disruptions cloud the outlook, while warning oil markets may be too relaxed about supply shock risks investingLive Exclusive 10m ago Source link
Market sentiment is turning negative again as the new week begins, and with gas prices rising, this reaction makes sense. Even though the usual link between markets and the economy has weakened lately, oil prices are once again driving investor decisions. Higher energy costs are becoming a reality, and with Crude Oil rising back above
June WTI crude oil futures today settled higher by $4.48 to $106.42 but I’m more interested in longer-dated contracts that continue to creep up. That’s arguably where bonds and equities have traded off since the conflict. Early on, the market mostly took Trump at his word that oil would come down after the conflict. There
‘, buttonPrevHTML: ”, }; function adaptBreadcrumbs() { let breadcrumbs = document.querySelectorAll(‘#header-breadcrumbs’); for(i = 0; i < breadcrumbs.length; i++) { let title = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.breadcrumbs-title’); let btns = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.btn-container:last-child’); if(btns && btns.children && btns.children.length) { if(parseInt(title.getBoundingClientRect().top + title.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2) == parseInt(btns.getBoundingClientRect().top + btns.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2)) { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”; } else { title.style=”flex-grow:0;”; } } else { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”;
Trump speaking to Fox News said Iran will be ‘blown off the face of the earth’ if the Islamic republic attacks US ships guiding vessels through Strait of Hormuz. A US official cited by Al Jazeera said that Project Freedom in the Strait of Hormuz is a defensive operation and we do not want to
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
‘, buttonPrevHTML: ”, }; function adaptBreadcrumbs() { let breadcrumbs = document.querySelectorAll(‘#header-breadcrumbs’); for(i = 0; i < breadcrumbs.length; i++) { let title = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.breadcrumbs-title’); let btns = breadcrumbs[i].querySelector(‘.btn-container:last-child’); if(btns && btns.children && btns.children.length) { if(parseInt(title.getBoundingClientRect().top + title.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2) == parseInt(btns.getBoundingClientRect().top + btns.getBoundingClientRect().height / 2)) { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”; } else { title.style=”flex-grow:0;”; } } else { title.style=”flex-grow:1;”;
