A report released by the Conference Board on Tuesday showed a continued decrease by its reading on leading U.S. economic indicators in the month of September. The Conference Board said its leading economic index fell by 0.3 percent in September, matching an upwardly revised dip in August. “The US LEI fell again in September, marking […]
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
According to a report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the rise in Gold prices since the beginning of September has been amplified by speculative purchases by retail investors, thereby decoupling Gold from typical patterns of behavior such as that of a safe haven. Instead, the rise in the price of Gold has been in
Currency market dynamics have not shifted meaningfully as the session progresses, with the day’s relative performance table largely intact. Aussie remains firmly at the top, supported by the RBA’s hawkish hold earlier today. Governor Michele Bullock effectively shut the door on further easing and made clear that the next move could be a hike if
The Bank for International Settlements’ quarterly review, published today (December 8) finds market exuberance amid corporate bankruptcies, and gold losing its ‘safe haven’ status as its surging price correlates with that of equities. Hyun Song Shin, who leads economic work at the BIS, told a press conference on December 6: “What we definitely can say quite
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Central bank divergence is the critical variable The case for a stronger British pound rests primarily on central bank divergence, with markets pricing a more aggressive Federal Reserve(Fed) easing cycle than Bank of England (BoE) cuts. If that plays out, sterling could push through 1.35 and target 1.38-1.40 over the coming year. The Fed’s trajectory
2025.12.09 2025.12.09 Gold Edges Higher As Markets Brace For Hawkish Cut. Forecast as of 09.12.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ A Fed rate cut is great news for gold. However, this factor has already been reflected in gold prices. Meanwhile, Jerome Powell’s hawkish rhetoric may trigger a sell-off in the precious metal. Let’s discuss this topic and make
We are seeing the JPY free-falling again across the board today. The Japanese long-term yields continue to hit record highs and that is of course drawing attention from Japanese officials as borrowing costs rise. Governor Ueda this morning noted that long-term rates have been rising rather rapidly recently and added that the BoJ would increase
The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained its key interest rate for the third straight month at its final meeting of 2025, and the policy board observed that there are some signals of a more broadly based inflation uptick, some of which may be long-term and will need to be closely monitored. The policy board governed
Toll Brothers (TOL) reported $3.42 billion in revenue for the quarter ended October 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.7%. EPS of $4.58 for the same period compares to $4.63 a year ago. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.32 billion, representing a surprise of +2.97%. The company delivered an EPS
Global markets adopted a more cautious tone today, with Asian equities drifting lower after Wall Street’s soft session. The price action reflects hesitation rather than fear, with most investors choosing not to commit ahead of tomorrow’s critical FOMC outcome. Talk has intensified that the Fed could deliver what many are calling a “hawkish cut.” A
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Key takeaways Hotter-than-expected October trimmed CPI and hawkish RBA communication have sharply reduced rate-cut expectations for 2026, with markets now pricing a >70% chance of a hike by end-2026. Australia’s 2-year and 10-year bond yield premiums over US Treasuries have widened to multi-year highs, boosting the appeal of AUD-denominated assets and supporting medium-term AUD/USD strength.
Prior was 3.60% The decision was unanimous The last cut was in August The next decision is Feb 3 Highlights from the statement: Recent data suggests risks to inflation have tilted to the upside, but it will take “a little longer” to assesses the persistence of inflation pressures Various indicators suggest that labor market conditions
Executive summary Trend bias: Bullish continuation expected after a maturing (iv) triangle completes. Key level: 45,728 is critical support; holding above it keeps the bullish count intact. Upside target: Wave (v) of Primary 3 projects toward 49,347–51,726 based on Fibonacci extensions. Current Elliott Wave analysis The Dow Jones Industrial Average appears to be tracing out a Primary Degree Wave 3, with the
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