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Fragmented Markets Signal Bet Against “Forever War” Scenario

Fragmented Markets Signal Bet Against “Forever War” Scenario

The global market reaction to the escalating conflict in the Middle East remains remarkably fragmented. U.S. equities successfully staged a “buy-the-dip” recovery overnight after an initial selloff. Both S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed with modest gains. In contrast, Asian markets told a darker story. South Korea’s Kospi tumbled nearly -5% as it caught up with […]

ECB chief economist Lane warns of inflation spike from US-Iran conflict

ECB chief economist Lane warns of inflation spike from US-Iran conflict

Prolonged conflict could lead to a “substantial spike” in inflation At the same time, it could also cause a “sharp drop in output” in the euro area Directionally, a jump in energy prices puts upward pressure on inflation especially in the near-term The magnitude of the shock heavily depends on “the breadth and duration of

Offshore speed, onshore depth: a new reality for FX liquidity

Offshore speed, onshore depth: a new reality for FX liquidity

Offshore speed, onshore depth: a new reality for FX liquidity – FX Markets Skip to main content End of drawer navigation content Stark differences emerge between onshore and offshore pricing during macroeconomic news events, finds LMAX Group’s head of data In foreign exchange spot markets, speed has long been treated as a reliable guide to

Australia Q4 Current Account Gap Largest Sinc…

Australia Q4 Current Account Gap Largest Sinc…

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Canadian Dollar steadies as Oil prices strengthen on Strait of Hormuz closure

Canadian Dollar steadies as Oil prices strengthen on Strait of Hormuz closure

USD/CAD holds ground after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3670 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. However, the pair depreciated as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) received support from higher Oil prices. Canada’s status as a major crude exporter makes its currency particularly sensitive to movements in Oil prices. West Texas

Australian January building approvals -7.2% m/m vs +5.0% expected

Australian January building approvals -7.2% m/m vs +5.0% expected

Expected was +5.0% (some at 5.5%) Prior was -14.9% Private house approvals +1.1% vs +0.4% prior Building approvals +8.7% y/y vs +13.3% prior This is a sharp two-month drop in construction activity but think of it more as a normalization. Australian dwelling approvals were characterised by significant monthly volatility through 2025, driven almost entirely by

Japan Unemployment Rate Ticks Up To 2.7%

Japan Unemployment Rate Ticks Up To 2.7%

The jobless rate in Japan came in at a seasonally adjusted 2.7 percent in January, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said on Tuesday. That was above expectations for 2.6 percent, which would have been unchanged from the December reading. The jobs-to-applicant ratio was 1.18 – missing forecasts for 1.19 and down from 1.20

Japan Unemployment Rate Ticks Up To 2.7%

New Zealand Building Consents Climb 1.9% In January

The total number of building permits issued in New Zealand was up a seasonally adjusted 1.9 percent on month in January, Statistics New Zealand said on Tuesday – coming in at 2,528. Individually, permits were issued for 1,190 stand-alone houses, 1,004 townhouses, flats, and units, 189 retirement village units and 145 apartments. In the year

Silver Tumbles on Renewed Risk Appetite

Silver Tumbles on Renewed Risk Appetite

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AUDUSD Technical Update: Bears Falter as Risk Appetite Returns

AUDUSD Technical Update: Bears Falter as Risk Appetite Returns

The AUD/USD is staging a resilient intraday recovery, climbing back toward session highs as the initial wave of market fear dissipates. The primary catalyst is a broad rebound in U.S. equities, with all three major indices now trading in positive territory. The Macro Backdrop: Stocks Lead the Way As the “risk-on” sentiment returns, the Australian

A look around Markets as Iran operations begin – Market reactions

A look around Markets as Iran operations begin – Market reactions

This weekend marked the beginning of a foreseen but still shocking operation in Iran as US and Israeli forces aim to topple the Islamic Regime. Killing the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the first strikes, the battle is still anticipated to last around four weeks, as declared by President Trump and Head of the Department of

Asian central banks monitoring FX volatility amid oil shocks

Asian central banks monitoring FX volatility amid oil shocks

Central bankers in Asia have intervened or are closely monitoring market developments stemming from the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East. The US and Israel on February 28 launched a co-ordinated attack on Iran. Soon afterwards, Iran retaliated by launching drones and missiles targeting Israel and US military bases in several Gulf countries, including

Gold advances as US-Iran war drive risk-off sentiment

Gold advances as US-Iran war drive risk-off sentiment

Gold (XAU/USD) eases after opening the week with a bullish gap amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with the US-Iran war triggering a fresh wave of safe-haven demand. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $5,300, trimming earlier gains after climbing above the $5,400 mark earlier in the day. US-Israel strikes on

​​Taylor Wimpey full-year 2025 earnings preview: 5 March​ 2026

​​Taylor Wimpey full-year 2025 earnings preview: 5 March​ 2026

​​​Taylor Wimpey full-year results preview: Can the housebuilder sustain momentum into 2026? ​Taylor Wimpey is preparing to publish its full-year 2025 results on 5 March 2026, a key moment for investors assessing how one of the UK’s largest housebuilders has navigated a challenging market backdrop characterised by affordability pressures, muted demand from first-time buyers and shifting

SNB Caps Franc as Dollar Takes Safe-Haven Crown

SNB Caps Franc as Dollar Takes Safe-Haven Crown

Global markets have entered a phase of heightened volatility as Middle East tensions transition into direct and widening regional conflict. Initial safe-haven flows rushed into Swiss Franc, pushing the currency to decade-highs against Euro. However, the move proved short-lived after rare and explicit pushback from Swiss National Bank. In what traders quickly labeled a “verbal

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