Reduction of “Policy Shocks” The primary driver of the risk-on rally last Friday was the removal of the President’s ability to impose sudden, unilateral tariff hikes under the guise of national emergencies. Since early 2025, the market has lived under the constant threat of “Twitter-style” trade policy where rates could jump 10% to 25% overnight. […]
Traders came back for a ride after a tense weekend. Overall, nothing spectacular happened between the US and Iran, which could have been a relief for risk assets, but the recent tariff turmoil said otherwise. Economic uncertainty is back, leading to today’s gigantic outflows from risk assets. While the Supreme Court ruled that IEEPA (Liberation
Michael Wan at MUFG argues that changes in US tariff implementation and a weaker Dollar backdrop support a gradual move lower in USD/CNY. China is seen as a relative beneficiary versus some Asian exporters as effective tariffs on Chinese exports are expected to fall. This narrows tariff differentials and reduces incentives to re-route exports via
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USDCAD moved lower alongside the broader USD in the early Asian-Pacific session, extending the decline toward the 38.2% retracement of the 2026 trading range at 1.36517. That level — previously broken to the upside — acted as a key technical support zone. Sellers pushed into it, but downside momentum began to stall, signaling profit-taking and
New orders for U.S. manufactured goods pulled back in line with expectations in the month of December, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Monday. The Commerce Department said factory orders slid by 0.7 percent in December after surging by 2.7 percent in November. The decrease matched economist estimates. The pullback by
NIO has put together a strong move off its recent lows this month, gaining more than 18% over the course of just a few trading days. From a technicals perspective, this has been a clean and steady push higher, with price consistently marching upward rather than spiking erratically. When stocks move this way, it often
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(Partial video transcript) This week’s trading opportunity Hello and welcome to this week’s “Trade of the week”, which is to go short EUR/GBP. If you look at my chart in the video at 0:20, the reason is technical because, basically, we are getting close to some important resistance area. And you can see that the highs
Dollar stabilized and recovered notably in early US trading after an initial selloff, supported by remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Waller, widely regarded as one of the more dovish voices on the Federal Reserve Board, signaled that the case for holding rates in March has strengthened following robust January employment data. Waller was one
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
German business confidence strengthened to a six-month high in February on improving assessment about current situation and upbeat outlook, survey data from the Munich-based ifo Institute showed Monday. The business climate index rose more-than-expected to 88.6 in February from 87.6 in the previous month. The score was the highest since last August. The expected reading
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil, specifically ICE Brent, rallied strongly last week on rising geopolitical risks around potential US action in Iran, but is trading softer as further US-Iran talks are scheduled. They highlight renewed US tariff uncertainty and still-elevated speculative positioning in Brent. Brent eases after strong geopolitical rally
While US tariff chaos dominated headlines, its market impact has been surprisingly contained. Equities in Asia are brushing aside the latest escalation. In South Korea, the Kospi extended gains for a third consecutive session to fresh highs, signaling confidence that trade rhetoric has not yet translated into real economic disruption. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index
Kelvin Wong Senior Market Analyst Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an
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2026.02.23 2026.02.23 US Dollar Plummets As Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Tariffs. Forecast as of 23.02.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The Supreme Court’s ruling on the illegality of tariffs has raised questions about how it will affect the US dollar. Initially, the currency fell. However, markets tend to react first and think later. Let’s discuss this topic
