Deutsche Bank turns more hawkish on the ECB, arguing that energy-driven inflation risks now outweigh growth concerns, though the policy outlook remains highly uncertain. Summary: Deutsche Bank shifts ECB call in response to Middle East conflict Now expects ECB to hike rates to 2.50% in 2026 Two 25bp hikes seen in June and September Energy
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USD/CAD experienced high volatility after the US postponed military strikes on Iran, leading to a “risk-on” sentiment shift. The resulting weakness in the US Dollar was offset by a massive ~7.5% drop in WTI crude oil, which prevented the commodity-linked CAD from making gains and left the pair flat near 1.3715. The bias is cautiously
Japan’s national inflation data for February is due later today, with the release expected to mirror the softer tone seen in the Tokyo CPI figures earlier in the month. The Tokyo data showed underlying price pressures moderating, with core inflation slipping back below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. This has reinforced the near-term case
Recent trading sessions have been nothing short of wild roller coaster rides. Stock Markets reached new cycle lows on Friday and in the overnight Futures session, driven by fears of an escalation as the rhetoric seemed to intensify. But that wasn’t without counting another Trump yo-yo, as he surprised Markets with the announcement of potential
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(Partial video transcript) This week’s trading opportunity Today’s “Trade of the week” is to go long Arabica coffee. The reason is mainly technical. As you can see on my chart at 0:14 in the video above, we are forming a bottom and we managed to close on Friday above the previous relative high seen here on
Construction spending in the U.S. unexpectedly decreased in the month of January, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Monday. The report said construction spending fell by 0.3 percent to an annual rate of $2.190 trillion in January after climbing by 0.8 percent to a revised rate of $2.198 trillion in December.
Gold has undergone a dramatic shift in both technical tone and momentum, and the price action over the last few sessions is sending an important signal to traders. The first warning came on Friday, when gold closed below its 100-day moving average for the first time since December 2024. That break was significant. The 100-day
For those looking at the bigger picture, the recent pullback in gold prices may be seen as an opportunity. However, there are various factors at play for market participants to consider. I for one remain optimistic of a price recovery, but this will still hinge on how geopolitical headlines shape inflation, monetary policy expectations and
Sales rates and order book under pressure However, beneath the stable headline figures, underlying demand indicators remain mixed creating forward visibility concerns. Bellway reported a private reservation rate of 0.47 homes per outlet per week, down from 0.51 a year earlier, highlighting softer sales activity through the autumn period. The forward order book also declined,
Markets shifted into a “trust but verify” mode as sharp volatility unfolded following a sudden geopolitical pivot. Initial optimism surged after US President Donald Trump announced a pause in planned strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure, but gains were quickly tempered as Iran denied any direct or indirect talks, raising doubts over the credibility of the
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2026.03.23 2026.03.23 Oil Price Surges As Trump’s Ultimatums Keep Markets On Edge. Forecast as of 23.03.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ No matter what the US says about the conflict in the Middle East, the reality is that a resolution remains highly unlikely in the near term. At the same time, there are no clear signs of increased
As energy prices continue to stay elevated, there are growing worries that the latest development will derail the economic recovery in Europe. In particular, the German manufacturing sector looked like it was starting to show some signs of life to start the new year. And then, we have all of this happen in the last
Singapore’s consumer price inflation moderated in February amid slower price growth in accommodation and private transport, data published by the Monetary Authority of Singapore and the Ministry of Trade and Industry showed on Monday. The consumer price index, or CPI, climbed 1.2 percent year-over-year in February, slower than January’s increase of 1.4 percent, which was
Global markets are entering a critical countdown as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran escalate ahead of a looming deadline. US President Donald Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum has introduced a clear timeline for military action, shifting market dynamics toward event-driven positioning and heightened volatility. Asian markets have reacted most sharply to the developments. South Korea’s
