The WSJ is reporting: Iran’s negotiating position remains largely unchanged, with mediators and U.S. officials saying there has been little progress toward a breakthrough deal. Trump said he halted planned U.S. strikes on Tuesday due to what he described as positive developments in negotiations. Iran continues demanding: An end to hostilities Financial relief and reparations […]
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The London Stock Exchange Group’s (LSEG) foreign exchange trading venue, FXall, is preparing to launch a service that separates credit risk from market-making in FX forwards trades with buy-side clients. FX Markets understands the service – Split Risk – will allow buy-side users to enter outright forwards by trading a combination of spot and an FX
Stock markets have surged since the peak of the US-Iran conflict, but this strong trend is finally starting to slow down. After weeks of pushing the market higher, semiconductor giants and the Magnificent 7 are now pulling back, putting a sudden stop to the recent Wall Street excitement. Geopolitical tensions are still unresolved, and the
The National Association of Realtors released a report on Tuesday showing pending home sales in the U.S. jumped by more than expected in the month of April.NAR said its pending home sales index shot up by 1.4 percent to 74.8 in April after surging by 1.7 percent to an upwardly revised 73.8 in March. Economists
The sharp rise in US Treasury yields remains one of the dominant macro themes in global markets this week, with the 10-year yield climbing back to 4.62% after only a brief pullback yesterday, near its highest level in more than a year. While markets continue focusing on inflation concerns and expectations for prolonged restrictive Federal
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW The Nasdaq has been surging into new record highs despite the prolonged US-Iran stalemate and the Strait of Hormuz closure. The rally in April was justified by easing US-Iran tensions, the constant push for a diplomatic resolution instead of another full-fledged war and expectations that a deal would be reached eventually. Now, we
2026.05.19 2026.05.19 Yen Sags Despite Strong GDP Data. Forecast as of 19.05.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Japan holds an enormous $1.17 trillion in foreign exchange reserves. However, deploying those reserves for currency market intervention could create significant unintended consequences. In particular, it could trigger a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, a scenario Washington would likely find
Spain’s foreign trade deficit decreased in March from a year ago, as exports grew faster than imports, preliminary data from the Economy Ministry showed on Tuesday.The trade deficit dropped to EUR 4.4 billion in March from EUR 5.5 billion in the corresponding month last year. In February, there was a shortfall of EUR 3.3 billion.Exports
Macro update Oil eases on Trump comments: Brent crude fell nearly 2% to around $107 a barrel after Donald Trump delayed a planned strike on Iran and said there was a “very good chance” of a nuclear deal, although prices remain more than 50% above pre-war levels. Equities stay cautious: MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index ex-Japan dropped
Sterling softened after the latest UK labor market data reinforced expectations that the Bank of England is likely to adopt a more patient near-term stance on interest rates. The sharp decline in payroll employment, rising unemployment rate, and cooling wage growth excluding bonuses all pointed to a labor market that is gradually losing momentum, reducing
2026.05.19 2026.05.19 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 19.05.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Yesterday, the oil
Record rise in equity allocations by global fund managers in May Just 4% of fund managers see hard landing 66% of respondents expect Hormuz bottleneck to end in next few months 62% of respondents target 6% on 30-year treasury yields, 20% target 4% 40% of respondents say second wave of inflation is biggest tail risk
It looked like risk sentiment was bound to take a big knock yesterday but not for some mix of headlines to start the week. First, we had Iranian media saying that the US is to propose a temporary waiver to sanctions. That helped to bring risk trades off their lows before the news was denied
Australian Dollar weakened broadly in the Asian session as renewed selloff in regional equities, disappointing Chinese data, and softer near-term RBA tightening expectations combined to undermine sentiment toward the currency. At the same time, elevated oil prices continued supporting Canadian Dollar, building up the case for the case of a deeper correction in AUD/CAD. Risk
Key takeaways Rising global bond yields and growing expectations of future Federal Reserve rate hikes are increasingly threatening the AI-driven technology rally, pressuring growth-stock valuations across global equity markets. Geopolitical tensions escalated sharply after a drone strike targeted a UAE nuclear facility, intensifying concerns over prolonged Middle East instability, elevated oil prices, and persistent inflationary
Japan’s Q1 GDP grew an annualised 2.1%, beating forecasts of 1.7%, but analysts warn the Iran war energy shock is set to slow growth sharply and could force the BOJ to delay rate hikes. Earlier: Summary: Source: Japanese government GDP data and analyst commentary, reported Tuesday 18 May 2026. Q1 real GDP grew an annualised
