TL;DR: The probability of an October 28 BoC hike jumped from 30% to 82.8% in a single weekend, driving USD/CAD toward the 1.4000 reversal zone. But with markets already pricing roughly four hikes through September 2027, one increase may not be enough—the Bank’s updated inflation projections and guidance will decide whether the breakdown holds. Why
Daiwa: BOJ shifts focus from reaching 2% inflation to keeping it there, wages hold the key MUFG says firmer China growth offers yuan support, but uneven demand limits the upside PBOC to run daily overnight reverse repos to Nov 2 in first step after policy rate signal Are US Treasuries still a hedge? Citi Australia
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The Thai stock market has finished lower in back-to-back sessions, sinking almost 5 points or 0.3 percent in that span. The Stock Exchange of Thailand now sits just above the 1,570-point plateau although it may stop the bleeding on Tuesday. Source link
Moheb Hanna Market Analyst With over 15 years’ experience in the forex markets, on both the research and client relations sides, Moheb specialises in technical, trade-focused market analysis. He has worked at a number of top financial institutions, publishing daily commentary and driving sales for retail and institutional clients. A CMT Charter member, Moheb holds
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The South Korea stock market has finished higher in back-to-back sessions, gathering more than 210 points or 3.6 percent along the way. The KOSPI now sits just beneath the 5,770-point plateau and it may extend its gains on Tuesday. Source link
Goldman Sachs sees $25 war risk premium in Brent, forecasts $90 in December and $80 in 2027 !“#$%&‘()*+,–./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} !“#$%&‘()*+,–./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} Source link
Morgan Stanley IM says bond yields are rising for the right reasons, favours US and Japan !“#$%&‘()*+,–./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} !“#$%&‘()*+,–./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} Source link
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Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index declined 252.27 points to 35,924.32 Monday as headline inflation accelerated to 3.1% in September. Geopolitical tensions and central bank monetary policy expectations pressured sentiment across utilities, industrials, and financials. Source link
Bank of Canada Q3 business outlook survey -0.33 vs -0.38 prior !“#$%&‘()*+,–./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} !“#$%&‘()*+,–./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|} Source link
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Can earnings revive flagging tech stocks like Netflix, Tesla and Meta? Source link
A report released by the National Association of Home Builders on Monday showed a bigger-than-expected deterioration in U.S. homebuilder sentiment in the month of October. The report said the NAHB/Wells Fargo housing market index fell to 29 in October from 32 in September. Economists had expected the index to edge down to 31. Source link
Australian and Canadian Dollars Lead Major Currencies on Monday, but the Gains Are Far From Evidence of a Broad Risk-On Rally Today’s themes: Aussie leads: Australian Dollar is the strongest major as China’s Q3 GDP beats at 4.5% and RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent challenges the idea that tightening has ended. Loonie holds firm: Canadian
U.K. stocks retreated on Monday with the FTSE 100 down 1.05% to 10,767.86 as investors grew wary ahead of jobs reports, inflation data, and retail sales figures this week. European civil unrest and international tensions pressured markets. Source link
