The US-Iran ceasefire is officially on the table, and Market bulls have returned with fierce conviction, but despite all the progress from the past 24 hours, the path is going to be quite rocky. Wall Street exploded in a massive relief rally since yesterday’s late session, completely reversing the recent geopolitical panic that had gripped […]
US equity markets posted strong gains in the aftermath of the ceasefire announcement. The gains would have been larger if not for lingering uncertainty around the sustainability of a ceasefire given ongoing fighting in Lebanon and unanswered questions about Hormuz tolls and uranium enrichment. For now, the mood is very positive: S&P 500 +2.5% Nasdaq
While the conflict in the Middle East has led to a heightened degree of economic uncertainty, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy meeting revealed many officials still expect to resume cutting interest rates this year. The minutes of the Fed’s March 17-18 meeting said participants emphasized the importance of being “nimble” in
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
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For it to reach a new record high, it would need to rise by an additional 5% from current levels around 24,144. Having said that, while the index remains above its November-to-early March lows at 22,943-to-22,928, it will be deemed to have turned a corner and be seen as medium-term bullish. A rise above the July-to-October 2025 peaks at 24,639-to-24,771 would probably lead to a new record high
The USDCHF is extending to the downside, with price action breaking through a series of key technical levels that had previously acted as support. The pair has now moved below the 200-day moving average at 0.79428, the swing low from last week at 0.7903, and the 100-day moving average at 0.7888, and is probing below
The ceasefire between the US and Iran has reset the Fed outlook, shifting market focus away from near-term inflation data toward the broader policy path. With oil prices falling and supply risks easing, the markets could be willing to look through both FOMC minutes today and a likely elevated March CPI reading on Friday. The
Hungary’s industrial production declined for the second straight month in February, while retail sales growth rebounded, separate reports from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office showed on Wednesday. The volume of industrial production rose an unadjusted 1.5 percent annually in February, slower than the 2.5 percent fall a month ago. Subscribe to continue reading the article.
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Macro update Oil drops sharply on ceasefire news: Brent fell below $100 to around $91, while WTI slipped to the mid-$90s after Trump agreed a two-week ceasefire with Iran linked to reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Strait reopening eases supply fears: Iran indicated it would permit limited, safe transit through Hormuz – responsible for roughly 20% of global oil flows –
2026.04.08 2026.04.08 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 08.04.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The oil price
Zain Vawda Market Analyst Zain is an experienced financial markets analyst and educator with a rich tapestry of experience in the world of retail forex, economics, and market analysis. Initially starting out in a sales and business development role, his passion for economics and technical analysis propelled him towards a career as an analyst. He
In February 2026, the French trade balance showed a sharp decline of €3.8 billion to reflect a deficit of €5.8 billion. That owes to a significant increase in imports by €2.6 billion and a decrease in exports of only €1.2 billion. Looking at the details, the increase in imports was driven by higher imports of
Dollar’s sharp slide as oil price drops below $100 on the US-Iran ceasefire is raising a critical question for FX markets: whether the unwinding of war premium is now enough to push EUR/USD back toward the 1.20 psychological level. The move reflects a rapid shift from pricing disruption to pricing partial normalization—but the path forward
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand maintained its key interest rate on Wednesday, citing the impact of the Middle East conflict on domestic inflation and economic recovery. The Monetary Policy Committee, governed by Anna Breman, decided to hold the key interest rate at 2.25 percent, as widely expected. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This
When a quartet of big markets firms were looking at bitcoin in 2022, they saw a lot to like: record highs, regular volatility, claimed diversification benefits, and massive growth potential. It came with a lot of weird baggage, though. The cryptocurrency market’s practice of settling trades instantly meant it was difficult to trade on credit
