Gold (XAU/USD) is generally regarded as a safe-haven asset. The price of gold is influenced by geopolitical events, inflation rates, and shifts in interest rates. In the face of global economic uncertainty, the precious metal remains the primary defensive asset in investment portfolios.
This article examines the factors driving the future of gold quotes and presents a forecast for the day, week, and month ahead. The price analysis encompasses macroeconomic data, political events, and technical analysis to facilitate the most accurate trading forecast for the XAUUSD.
The article covers the following subjects:
Expert Technical Analysis for XAU/USD for Today
The 4-hour chart shows the following signals:
- A large Ascending Triangle pattern (1) is forming, with a potential breakout expected to the upside and a target near $4,114.01. Within this structure, a series of Spinning Top patterns (2) has formed, suggesting market indecision and possible consolidation in the $3,951.68–$4,005.79 range.
- MACD continues to decline in the positive zone, approaching the zero line, which indicates a lack of momentum.
- RSI is neutral, holding at 47, which means the price could move in either direction.
- MFI is neutral with a slight bullish bias, suggesting a gradual recovery in demand and a moderate inflow of liquidity into the asset. However, there are no clear buy or sell signals at this stage.
- VWAP and SMA20 are below the market price, indicating growing bullish pressure.
Trading Plan for XAUUSD for Today
Gold forecast for today:
- Key support levels: $3,951.68, $3,893.96, $3,820.00, $3,729.82, and $3,643.24.
- Key resistance levels: $4,005.79, $4,059.90, $4,114.01, $4,202.40, $4,254.97, $4,313.67, $4,373.89, and $4,441.34.
- Base Scenario: Open long positions (1) on increased volume above the $4,005.79 level, with price targets at $4,059.90, $4,114.01, $4,202.40, $4,254.97, $4,313.67, $4,373.89, and $4,441.34. Stop Loss (3): $3,977.68.
- Alternative Scenario: Open short positions (2) below the $3,951.68 level, with price targets at $3,893.96, $3,820.00, $3,729.82, and $3,643.24. Stop Loss (3): $3,977.68.
The analysis is provided by Alan Tsagaraev.
Alan Tsagaraev is an independent trader and analyst specializing in stock, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrency markets. He holds a degree in Economics and has been a professional investor and financial market trader since 2019. Over the course of his career, he has increased his capital more than tenfold.
XAU/USD Real-Time Market Status
Gold is trading at $3 998.82 as of 03.11.2025.
Gold Price Forecast for Tomorrow
On November 4, 2025, the price of XAUUSD is expected to reverse to the upside.
Gold price prediction tomorrow:
|
Date |
Daily Low, $ |
Daily High, $ |
Average price, $ |
|
04.11.2025 |
3,893.96 |
4,114.01 |
4,003.98 |
Gold Price Forecast for Next Week
Gold prices are expected to exhibit moderate volatility this week amid the release of macroeconomic statistics. In addition, the price of gold may face pressure from the de-escalation of tensions between China and the US, as well as from Xi Jinping’s intention to help resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
Gold price prediction this week:
|
Date |
Weekly Low, $ |
Weekly High, $ |
Average price, $ |
|
03.11.2025–09.11.2025 |
3,643.24 |
4,254.97 |
3,949.10 |
Gold Price Prediction for Next 30 Days
The gold price is expected to rise moderately in November 2025 amid geopolitical turbulence and inflationary expectations. Investors will likely flock to safe-haven assets, boosting demand and driving up gold prices. Analysts predict that gold quotes will reach $4,129.14–$4,230.00 by the end of the month.
Gold price forecast 30 days:
|
Month |
Monthly Low, $ |
Monthly High, $ |
Average price, $ |
|
November |
3,553.00 |
4,456.66 |
4,004.83 |
Gold Outlook: Market Sentiment and Key Events for the Next 30 Days
The following factors may influence the price of XAUUSD during the current month:
- The World Gold Council’s Q3 2025 report indicates that quarterly gold demand, including the over-the-counter market, increased to 1,313 tonnes, or $146 billion.
- Investment demand accounted for about 55% (537 tonnes). Experts note that this was driven by rising uncertainty and geopolitical instability, the weakness of the US dollar, and the “fear of missing out” (FOMO) among investors amid the sharp rally in gold prices.
- Investors continue to pour money into gold ETFs, which added around 222 tonnes, with total global inflows reaching $26 billion. Since the start of 2025, ETF holdings have grown by 619 tonnes ($64 billion). The strongest growth came from North American funds (346 tonnes), followed by European (148 tonnes) and Asian funds (118 tonnes).
- Investments in bars and coins increased by 316 tonnes, marking a 17% year-over-year rise. The highest demand came from India (92 tonnes) and China (74 tonnes).
- Central banks also continued to boost their reserves, purchasing 220 tonnes, up 28% from Q2. Since the start of the year, total purchases have reached 634 tonnes. The National Bank of Kazakhstan led the buying, while the Central Bank of Brazil purchased gold for the first time in four years.
- The World Gold Council (WGC) expects continued demand growth from central banks, with annual purchases likely to reach 750–900 tonnes.
- Tensions between the US and China have eased, which could negatively impact the value of XAUUSD.
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell said another rate cut in December is not guaranteed, which could limit gold prices’ growth.
- In addition, Beijing expressed its readiness to help resolve the Russia–Ukraine conflict, which may also weigh on gold prices.
- On November 3, US Manufacturing PMI data for October will be released.
- On November 5, US Services PMI data for October will be published.
- On November 7, the University of Michigan will release its November inflation expectations.
- On November 13, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October will be released, including monthly and annual figures.
- On November 21, US Manufacturing and Services PMI data for November will be published.
- The US government shutdown may prompt investors to buy the XAUUSD, as gold has historically been considered a safe-haven asset in periods of economic and political turbulence.
Price Analysis and Forecasting Methodology
Our daily Gold price analysis and forecasting methodology includes:
- Analysis of fundamental factors and expert opinions influencing XAUUSD short-term price movements.
- Technical analysis of the asset’s charts from H1 to H4 time frames, including identification of key support and resistance levels, examination of technical indicators, and study of candlestick and chart patterns.
- Assessment of market sentiment through the analysis of posts and comments on social media, offering insights into the gold price’s next move.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast FAQs
Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode
The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.
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