In times of uncertainty, when screens are whipsawing between red and green, pockets of opportunity can be hard to come by, and quickly wiped out. A month after the US and Israel began their military action in Iran, conflicting political messages mean clear trends have been few and far between. Markets have been at the mercy […]
Business inventories in the U.S. unexpectedly edged slightly lower in the month of January, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Wednesday. The Commerce Department said business inventories slipped by 0.1 percent in January following a revised unchanged reading in December. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This article is part of
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
Global markets are extending a powerful risk-on rally as expectations build that the Iran war may be nearing its end. European equities are posting strong gains, US futures point higher, and Dollar is sharply weaker across the board. The move reflects a clear shift in sentiment, with markets front-running a potential endgame and aggressively repositioning
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The comparison base is relatively strong. In its most recent quarterly update, Shell reported earnings that slightly missed expectations, highlighting the sensitivity of results to commodity price swings and trading performance. As a result, investors will be looking for a clearer uplift in Q1 guidance, supported by stronger oil prices and improved margins across key segments. Cash
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Oil prices have come under some pressure yesterday after Trump basically confirmed the WSJ report in a Truth Social post that he would be open to end the war with Iran without the Strait of Hormuz opening condition. The losses extended further later in the day when the Iranian President said that they
2026.04.01 2026.04.01 Oil Prices Retreat Slightly On Optimism Over US-Iran Conflict De‑escalation. Forecast as of 01.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The conflict in the Middle East gives Iran the opportunity to ship its oil through the Strait of Hormuz and charge fees to tankers from other countries. Even if the US retreats from the region, Tehran will
Italy’s unemployment rate increased marginally in February from a record low in January, preliminary figures from the statistical office Istat showed on Wednesday. The seasonally adjusted jobless rate stood at 5.3 percent, up from January’s series record low of 5.2 percent. That was in line with expectations. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This article
Macro update Asia equities rebound on de-escalation hopes: Regional markets rallied strongly as optimism grew that the Iran conflict could ease within weeks, with MSCI Asia ex-Japan up 2.7% and ending a four-day losing streak. Korea and Japan lead gains: The Kospi jumped as much as 5.5% and the Nikkei rose up to 3.9%, supported
Markets opened Q2 with a powerful relief rally, as a clear shift in the Iran war narrative—from attrition to conclusion—triggered a sharp repricing across assets. The change in tone from prolonged conflict toward a potential endgame has sparked “finish line” optimism, driving equities higher, pulling the Dollar lower, and easing pressure across risk assets. The
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2026.04.01 2026.04.01 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 01.04.2026 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on Elliott Wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: The last part of impulse 5 appears to be developing. Consider short positions with Take Profit at
In brief: Oil edges higher amid ongoing Middle East tensions and mixed signals Trump signals imminent U.S. withdrawal (2–3 weeks), no deal required UAE moves closer to direct military involvement in Hormuz Fresh attacks highlight ongoing escalation risks across Gulf infrastructure Japan Tankan solid but cautious; China PMI expansion slows with rising cost pressures FX
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Japan’s manufacturing sector remains in expansion but is losing momentum as cost pressures rise and confidence weakens, with the Middle East conflict feeding through into inflation and uncertainty. Summary: Japan manufacturing PMI eased to 51.6 (prev. 53.0), still in expansion Growth slowed but remains second-strongest since mid-2022 New orders, output and employment all expanded at
The total number of building permits issues in Australia was up a seasonally adjusted 29.7 percent on month in February, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday – coming in at 19,022. That blew away expectations for an increase of 5.8 percent following the 7.2 percent contraction in January. Subscribe to continue reading the
