US-Iran backchannel diplomacy intensifies, but prospects for a deal remain limited. Summary: US engaging Iran via intermediaries including Pakistan Vance leading backchannel efforts tied to Hormuz reopening Iran confirms message receipt but denies direct negotiations US intelligence sees low willingness from Iran to engage Ceasefire discussions remain early-stage and highly uncertain The United States is
Today’s April Fool’s session extended the more hopeful tone seen across markets, following President Donald Trump’s decisive shift in rhetoric around the US–Iran–Israel conflict. The issue is that the initial phase of the rebound could now largely be behind us, as uncertainty has clearly eased on the back of renewed diplomatic intent and a more
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Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
The NZDUSD pushed higher yesterday and extended the move again today, but upside momentum stalled where it matters most technically. On the hourly chart, the pair made three separate attempts to break above the 38.2% retracement at 0.57714 (from the March 20 high). While price briefly traded above that level twice, buyers could not generate
In times of uncertainty, when screens are whipsawing between red and green, pockets of opportunity can be hard to come by, and quickly wiped out. A month after the US and Israel began their military action in Iran, conflicting political messages mean clear trends have been few and far between. Markets have been at the mercy
Business inventories in the U.S. unexpectedly edged slightly lower in the month of January, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Wednesday. The Commerce Department said business inventories slipped by 0.1 percent in January following a revised unchanged reading in December. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This article is part of
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
Global markets are extending a powerful risk-on rally as expectations build that the Iran war may be nearing its end. European equities are posting strong gains, US futures point higher, and Dollar is sharply weaker across the board. The move reflects a clear shift in sentiment, with markets front-running a potential endgame and aggressively repositioning
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The comparison base is relatively strong. In its most recent quarterly update, Shell reported earnings that slightly missed expectations, highlighting the sensitivity of results to commodity price swings and trading performance. As a result, investors will be looking for a clearer uplift in Q1 guidance, supported by stronger oil prices and improved margins across key segments. Cash
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Oil prices have come under some pressure yesterday after Trump basically confirmed the WSJ report in a Truth Social post that he would be open to end the war with Iran without the Strait of Hormuz opening condition. The losses extended further later in the day when the Iranian President said that they
2026.04.01 2026.04.01 Oil Prices Retreat Slightly On Optimism Over US-Iran Conflict De‑escalation. Forecast as of 01.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The conflict in the Middle East gives Iran the opportunity to ship its oil through the Strait of Hormuz and charge fees to tankers from other countries. Even if the US retreats from the region, Tehran will
Italy’s unemployment rate increased marginally in February from a record low in January, preliminary figures from the statistical office Istat showed on Wednesday. The seasonally adjusted jobless rate stood at 5.3 percent, up from January’s series record low of 5.2 percent. That was in line with expectations. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This article
Macro update Asia equities rebound on de-escalation hopes: Regional markets rallied strongly as optimism grew that the Iran conflict could ease within weeks, with MSCI Asia ex-Japan up 2.7% and ending a four-day losing streak. Korea and Japan lead gains: The Kospi jumped as much as 5.5% and the Nikkei rose up to 3.9%, supported
Markets opened Q2 with a powerful relief rally, as a clear shift in the Iran war narrative—from attrition to conclusion—triggered a sharp repricing across assets. The change in tone from prolonged conflict toward a potential endgame has sparked “finish line” optimism, driving equities higher, pulling the Dollar lower, and easing pressure across risk assets. The
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