With the economic calendar nearly empty, markets are fixated on the escalating political risk surrounding Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who is now under federal criminal investigation linked to the renovation of the Fed’s headquarters and his congressional testimony on the matter. The move has taken markets by surprise, particularly given that Powell’s term as Fed
Bitcoin looks lacklustre Since the beginning of 2026, Bitcoin has traded in a more measured and nuanced environment, shaped by macroeconomic uncertainty, evolving institutional participation and shifting investor sentiment. Rather than extending the sharp correction seen at the end of last year, Bitcoin has settled into a broad consolidation phase, with prices oscillating mainly between the
2026.01.12 2026.01.12 Yen Weakens Amid BoJ Doubts And Political Uncertainty. Forecast as of 12.01.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Prolonged pauses in the monetary policy cycles of the Fed and the Bank of Japan, coupled with the growing risks of a trade war between Tokyo and Beijing, make it more likely that the upward trend in the USD/JPY
Zain Vawda Market Analyst Zain is an experienced financial markets analyst and educator with a rich tapestry of experience in the world of retail forex, economics, and market analysis. Initially starting out in a sales and business development role, his passion for economics and technical analysis propelled him towards a career as an analyst. He
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News of a US criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell dominated global financial headlines, injecting a fresh dose of political risk into markets. While the investigation itself was unsettling, the sharper jolt came from Powell’s unusually direct response, which framed the episode as part of a broader campaign to pressure the central bank. In
2026.01.12 2026.01.12 Short-Term Analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 12.01.2026 Roman Oneginhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/roman-onegin/ Dear readers, I’ve prepared a short-term forecast for Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum based on the Elliott wave analysis. The article covers the following subjects: Major Takeaways BTCUSD: Wave (Z) may target the 80,770.57 level. Consider short positions. XRPUSD: The price is expected
The USD/JPY outlook remains modestly bullish, as poor risk sentiment benefits the dollar more than the yen. Japan’s PM could call for an early election, keeping the yen under pressure. Speculations about the Fed’s independence could limit the dollar’s rally in the short term. The USD/JPY pair trades near a one-year high as the Japanese
Indonesia’s retail sales growth moderated for the first time in four months in December, preliminary data from the Bank Indonesia showed on Monday. Retail sales rose 4.4 percent year-on-year in December, slower than the 6.3 percent surge a month ago. Sales have been rising since May. The overall growth was supported by spare parts and
The December payrolls number was on the softer side but the unemployment rate dropped back a little to 4.4% (unrounded 4.375%). The latter seems to be enough to convince some market analysts that the labour market is at least holding up as we get into the new year, with the Fed likely not too much
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The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a cautious note against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week. The USD/INR pair trades firmly near the weekly high of 90.66 as the Indian Rupee underperforms due to rising oil prices and the continued outflow of foreign funds from the Indian stock market. Currencies from
Summary: Yuan rose 4.5% in 2025, its best year since 2020 Former SAFE official says gains lack fundamental backing Strength driven by weaker dollar demand, not inflows Falling REER does not imply undervaluation Disinflation and output gap argue against stronger yuan Yuan’s rebound lacks fundamental backing despite 2025 gains, former FX regulator warns. Info via
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The GBP/USD pair attracts some buyers near a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and recovers slightly from a nearly three-week low, touched during the Asian session on Monday. Spot prices, for now, seem to have snapped a four-day losing streak and currently trade around the 1.3435 region, up 0.20% for the day. Despite
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Summary: Trump to receive formal briefing on Iran response options Measures include sanctions, cyber tools and possible strikes Pentagon has not repositioned forces yet Starlink internet access under consideration Risk of regional escalation remains high Wall Street Journal with the report, link. The United States is stepping up contingency planning for possible action against Iran,
