I preferred to adjust wording that signals cutting bias I still expect rate cuts down the road Rates will likely remain on hold for a longer period The odds of worse inflation scenario have increased Alternative scenario could make the Fed consider a hike Fed’s Collins is not a voter this year, so we haven’t […]
2026.05.07 2026.05.07 Franc Gains as Swiss Inflation Challenges SNB Policy Plans. Forecast as of 07.05.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The Swiss National Bank surprised markets with signals of potential currency interventions and a possible return to negative interest rates. However, the acceleration of inflation in Switzerland has turned everything upside down. Like the referendum, it supports the franc.
Macro update Global equities rally: Asian stocks climbed to record highs as optimism around a potential US-Iran peace deal and strong technology earnings boosted risk appetite, with MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index reaching an all-time high and Wall Street also closing at fresh records. Nikkei surges past 62,000: Japan’s Nikkei jumped more than 4% to a record
2026.05.07 2026.05.07 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 07.05.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Gold is trading
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Key takeaways Gold rebounded on easing geopolitical tensions: Gold (XAU/USD) surged 3% as optimism over a potential US–Iran peace deal reduced stagflation fears and increased expectations that the Fed could eventually pivot toward rate cuts, weakening the US dollar. Technical and intermarket signals remain cautious: Despite the rally, gold remains one of the weaker-performing major
Global markets are throwing a full-scale “peace party.” Equities are surging relentlessly, risk appetite is exploding higher, and investors are increasingly behaving as though the Middle East crisis is already moving toward resolution. But beneath the rally, oil markets and renewed violence in Lebanon are flashing warnings that the geopolitical story may not be nearly
As a reminder, US president Trump is scheduled to meet with China president Xi Jinping next week on 14-15 May. The meeting will take place in Beijing and will mark the first time since a US president has travelled to China since 2017. There will be a lot of things to talk about and we’re
Traders revive emerging market carry trades on vol drop – FX Markets Skip to main content End of drawer navigation content Investors turn back to high-yield Latin America currencies as implied volatility falls Investors are once again piling back into the emerging market foreign exchange carry trade as they return to strategies that delivered significant
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Kelvin Wong Senior Market Analyst Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an
The monetary base in Japan was down 11.3 percent on year in April, the Bank of Japan said on Thursday – coming in at 570.787 trillion yen. That missed expectations for a decline of 10.5 percent following the 10.6 percent drop in March. Subscribe to continue reading the article. This article is part of our
Bank of Japan held rates at 0.75% in March in an 8-1 vote, with minutes showing the board debated Iran war inflation risks and the danger of falling behind the curve on price stability. Full text here. Summary: The Bank of Japan’s Policy Board voted 8-1 at its March 18-19 meeting to keep the uncollateralized
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Japan’s suspected JPY5-6 trillion yen intervention may prove its least successful yet as the Iran war leaves authorities at the mercy of unpredictable geopolitical factors, MUFG warns. Summary: Japanese authorities are suspected to have intervened in foreign exchange markets as dollar-yen fell from near 160 to below 157, with market estimates based on Bank of
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Today’s sharp market moves confirmed again that when President Trump changes his geopolitical stance, Wall Street doesn’t react with half conviction. The ongoing peace rally has been impressive: Even with many ups and downs and conflicting stories since the ceasefire began about a month ago, equity bulls have stayed steady. The trading session opened with
