Fresh concerns are emerging that the Trump administration’s dismissal of Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Commissioner Erika McEntarfer may be part of a broader strategy to undermine the credibility of official inflation data, with potential implications for markets and Federal Reserve policy debates. While early commentary, including a pointed note from J.P. Morgan, highlighted risks […]
The monetary base in Japan was down 3.9 percent on year in July, the Bank of Japan said on Monday – coming in at 643.896 trillion yen. That follows the downwardly revised 3.5 percent annual decline in June (originally -3.3 percent). Banknotes in circulation were down 2.4 percent on year, while coins in circulation fell
The Financial Times is gated, so its always interesting getting a glimpse behind the curtian. Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz tweeted on his concerns over wage disparities in the US: The wage growth lines are pointing down for all but the top quartile. If there is a silver lining from this it’ll be
Japan will on Monday release July figures for monetary base, highlighting a very light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. In June, the base was down 3.3 percent on year. Australia will see July results for the inflation gauge from the Melbourne Institute; in Jun, inflation was seen higher by 0.1 percent on month. For comments
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
US President Donald Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday after getting jobs numbers he didn’t like. It’s an extremely concerning move for anyone hoping to trade based on reliable economic data. it’s also reminiscent of Argentina and various other despotic regimes and it’s never ended well. At some point,
OPEC+ announced an oil production increase of 548,000 barrels per day for September. The move was widely expected after the group began taking bigger steps to unwind its production curbs over the summer. Initially, OPEC communicated an 18 month plan to slowly unwind production but it since stepped up the pace and now the entire
New York Fed President John Williams shared his views on the labor market, inflation, and interest rates in a Friday interview with Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos in New York. The Journal have provided a full transcript, which is really interesting. The journal is gated, but if you can access it, link. A notable
The GBP/USD weekly forecast suggests further downside. The US economy grew by 3.0%, compared to the forecast of 2.5%. The dollar retreated on Friday after data revealed slower-than-expected job growth in July. The GBP/USD weekly forecast suggests further downside as market participants prepare for a Bank of England rate cut. Ups and downs of GBP/USD
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The July nonfarm payrolls report showed just 73K jobs added, sharply missing the 110K estimate, with major downward revisions to prior months:. May was revised down from 144,000 to 19,000—> -125,000 June was revised down from 147,000 to 14,000 —> -133,000 The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2% from 4.1% last month. The sharp revisions
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
Now that Pres. Trump has fired the person in charge of the BLS employment report, Axios wrote an article that outlines the general BLS process to the jobs release. Here is the down and dirty without getting too much into the weeds: Release timing: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), a nonpartisan agency under the
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The U.S. added fewer jobs in July than expected, and June’s numbers were revised lower, showing the job market is slowing down. After this, traders increased their expectations for a September interest rate cut to 81.9%, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit their lowest levels in over two months, while
