EUR/CHF edges higher amid speculation of intervention from the Swiss National Bank in currency markets. EU–US trade talks stall ahead of August tariff deadline, fueling market uncertainty and limiting EUR/CHF gains. EUR/CHF tests key Fibonacci resistance as downtrend holds, while bearish momentum fades. The Euro (EUR) is edging higher against the Swiss Franc (CHF). On […]
Most Read: July PMI Week, NZ Inflation and ECB’s Rate Decision – Markets Weekly Outlook Oil prices continue to trade in a tight range between the 100 and 200-day MAs. Similar to Gold last week Oil prices appear to be in need of a catalyst that could provide some direction. /* Requesting advertisement by calling
The US and European 10-year yields are down sharply today. A snapshot shows: Germany 2.615%, -6.3 basis points France 3.295%, -9.0 basis points UK 4.613%, -6.0 basis points Switzerland 0.423%, -5.0 basis points Spain 3.217%, -16.9 basis points Italy 3.484%, -8.0 basis points The fall in European yields come ahead of Thursday’s ECB decision and
Bank of Canada Q2 Business Outlook Survey shows the direct impacts tariffs are having on firms’ outlooks are less severe than in Q1 Q2 Business Survey Indicator -2.42 from -2.12 in Q1 (revised from -2.14) Firms less worried by worst-case tariff scenarios Tariffs and related uncertainty continue to have major impacts on businesses’ outlooks Most
A report released by the Conference Board on Monday showed its reading on leading U.S. economic indicators fell by slightly more than expected in the month of June. The Conference Board said its leading economic index declined by 0.3 percent in June following a revised unchanged reading in May. Economists had expected the leading economic
The USD/JPY forecast shows a resilient yen despite a shift in Japan’s political landscape. Japan’s ruling party lost the election on Sunday. If there is no trade deal by August 1, Japan might face a 25% tariff on its goods. The USD/JPY forecast shows a resilient yen despite a shift in Japan’s political landscape. The
2025.07.21 2025.07.21 Yen Gains Ground As LDP Coalition Loses Majority. Forecast as of 21.07.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Shigeru Ishiba has not resigned as prime minister. The tax cuts promised by the opposition are not expected to take effect immediately. Consequently, the USDJPY rate decreased. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. The article covers
European stocks were quiet on Monday morning as investors looked at mixed corporate earnings and waited for a possible trade deal between the US and the EU. The STOXX 600 index, which tracks European shares, was almost flat, down just 0.01% at 546.97 points.. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday he’s confident a
Japan’s political shift supports yen strength Japan’s ruling coalition has lost its upper house majority, an outcome that was widely anticipated by market participants. The election results have not caused significant disruption to regional equity markets, partly because Tokyo’s main exchanges remained closed for a public holiday. The political developments have provided some support for
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The recent minor sideways range compression of Gold (XAU/USD) in place since 3 July has reached a potential tipping point for at least a minor breakout scenario. Two key elements have increased the odds of a bullish breakout scenario. Firstly, Gold (XAU/USD) has retested the medium-term ascending trendline support in place since 31 December 2024
The result over the weekend is a major blow for prime minister Ishiba as he now will come under heavy scrutiny and pressure to remain in office. The ruling LDP-Komeito coalition only managed to secure 47 seats, just short of the 50 seats required for a majority. That sees them lose their stranglehold on the
This note via eFX: Synopsis: HSBC’s multiverse modeling sees USD/JPY fairly valued within a 146–152 range, but warns that a number of political, macroeconomic, and policy shifts could trigger a JPY rebound. Key among these are a US-Japan trade deal, renewed Fed easing, or direct Japanese FX intervention. Key Points: Model-Implied Range for USD/JPY: HSBC’s
The Australian Dollar loses ground as the People’s Bank of China leaves its one-year LPR unchanged at 3.00%. The AUD also faces downward pressure due to ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China. The US Dollar maintains its position as robust economic data tempered Fed rate cut expectations. The Australian Dollar (AUD) loses
U.S. officials have informed the EU’s trade chief that President Trump is likely to demand further concessions in ongoing trade talks, including a higher baseline tariff of 15% or more on most European goods — a significant increase from the previously discussed 10%, according to sources familiar with the discussions. The shift has caught EU
Mixed week for US equity markets amid tariff uncertainty United States (US) equity markets closed lower on Friday, weighed down by a Financial Times report that President Trump is calling for a minimum 15 to 20% tariff on imports from the European Union (EU), suggesting a harder stance is being taken. For the week, the
Asking prices for newly listed UK homes fell 1.2% in July, the sharpest drop for that month in over 20 years. Sellers are pricing more competitively amid high inventory levels and increased buyer sensitivity to overpricing. Rightmove cut its 2025 price growth forecast to 2% from 4%, despite sales running 5% above 2024 levels. Falling
