Markets should not expect cuts at every meeting. It may well be the case that we pause in July. Inflation seen below 2% for some time, we have to remain vigilant. Further cuts would be fine-tuning unless we shift out of baseline scenario. Now that the ECB decision is out of the way, we have
There was a fleeting uptick in sentiment overnight after US President Donald Trump spoke by phone with Chinese President Xi Jinping, calling the conversation “very positive” and announcing renewed lower-level trade talks. However, the initial optimism quickly faded, with major US indexes reversing early gains to end the session lower. The Chinese readout was more
The Japanese Yen attracts sellers for the second straight day in reaction to disappointing domestic data. The optimism over the resumption of US-China trade talks further undermines demand for the safe-haven JPY. The divergent BoJ-Fed expectations should limit JPY losses and cap USD/JPY ahead of the US NFP report. The Japanese Yen (JPY) sticks to
China’s central bank unexpectedly injected 1 trillion yuan (around $139 billion) in three-month cash via outright reverse repos on Friday, a break from its usual practice of conducting such operations at the end of the month. The move appears aimed at easing mounting concerns over interbank liquidity, as borrowing costs rise and financial stress builds
The Australian Dollar may consolidate as traders adopt caution ahead of the US NFP release. President Trump described the call as productive, and negotiations on tariffs are set to continue. US Nonfarm Payrolls could have added 130,000 jobs in May, meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate is expected to hold steady at 4.2%. The Australian Dollar (AUD)
NBC with the report citing Republican senators: Republicans shouldn’t back away from looking at potential changes to Medicare exploring ideas to slash “waste, fraud and abuse” in Medicare, several senators they’re open to looking at other programs, too Sen. Kevin Cramer, R-N.D., said they shouldn’t be afraid of cutting waste in Medicare “Why don’t we
The average of household spending in Japan was down a seasonally adjusted 1.8 percent on month in April, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said on Friday – coming in at 325,717 yen. That missed forecasts for a decline of 0.8 percent following the 0.4 percent increase in March. On a yearly basis, household
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
The Dow Jones is holding steady as markets await Friday’s NFP report. Despite an overall upbeat tone to equities, market sentiment remains hobbled. The US is heading into trade talks with China, which Trump staffers historically lack the patience for. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) held steady on Thursday, chugging quietly near the previous
In May 2025, Brazil experienced a trade surplus of $7.24 billion, marking a decline from the $7.64 billion surplus recorded in April and not meeting the market’s anticipated $8.4 billion. Export figures saw a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year, amounting to $30.16 billion. This was characterized by a 0.6% decrease in agricultural exports, a notable
The range has been fairly tight in US stock markets today but some sellers just took a leg lower after hitting stops below the earlier double bottom. At 0.4%, the move today isn’t large but it’s disappointing after some seeming progress between the US and China. I warned about a ‘sell the fact’ trade on
United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Truth Social on Thursday that he had a “very good phone call” with Chinese President Xi Jinping, during which they discussed the intricacies of the trade deal. “The call lasted approximately one and a half hours, and resulted in a very positive conclusion for both countries,” Trump
Euro surged against Dollar after ECB President Christine Lagarde struck a relatively confident tone in her post-meeting press conference. She downplayed immediate trade war fallout, stating that U.S. tariffs would likely impact growth more in 2026, by which time EU fiscal expansion—particularly military spending—would help cushion the blow. Also, Lagarde emphasized that the ECB is
The Euro is rallying despite the 25bps cut from the European Central Bank from this morning. The ECB Deposit Rate is now at 2% from 2.25%. The fact that the markets had the cut priced in (well-expected) led to prices were broadly unchanged – markets seesawed but came right back to their level from the
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2025.06.05 2025.06.05 Gold Prepares for Bull Run After Short Breather. Forecast as of 05.06.2025 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Since the end of April, gold has remained in a state of consolidation. Investors believe that trade wars have begun to subside. In this case, the monetary policy and the slowdown in the US economy have provided a favorable
