Sterling trades broadly lower today after weaker-than-expected UK labor data strengthened expectations for a March rate cut from BoE. Rising unemployment and moderating wage growth have shifted the tone around policy outlook, particularly among more centrist MPC members who may now lean more dovish. Traders are now assigning more than 75% probability to a March […]
Canada’s annual inflation rate fell to 2.3% in January 2026, slightly lower than expected and aligned with the Bank of Canada’s forecasts. The trimmed-mean core rate, a key measure of underlying price pressures dropped to 2.4%, its lowest level since April 2021. While shelter and furniture costs cooled, food prices surged 7.3% and restaurant costs
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FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold found some support from the benign US CPI report on Friday where headline inflation eased slightly, while the core measure remained unchanged. We saw a small dovish repricing although the data didn’t change anything in the bigger picture. Yesterday, gold dropped again and eventually erased all the post-CPI gains. There was no
What the latest UK labour market data shows The UK labour market took another step backwards in the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) release, with unemployment climbing to 5.2% in the three months to December 2025. That marks the highest reading since 2021 and continues a trend that has been building since the middle
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $74.76 per troy ounce, down 2.33% from the $76.55 it cost on Monday. Silver prices have increased by 5.17% since the beginning of the year. Unit measure Silver Price Today in USD Troy Ounce 74.76 1 Gram 2.40 The Gold/Silver ratio, which
Germany’s consumer price inflation accelerated in January, as estimated, on higher food and services costs, final data from Destatis revealed Tuesday. Destatis confirmed that consumer price inflation rebounded to 2.1 percent in January from 1.8 percent in December. Similarly, EU harmonized inflation accelerated to 2.1 percent from 2.0 percent in the prior month. The rate
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2026.02.17 2026.02.17 Euro Poised to Surge As ECB Revamps Liquidity. Forecast as of 17.02.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ As a rule, thanks to divergence in monetary policy and a narrowing gap in economic growth between the US and the eurozone, the EUR/USD pair tends to eventually resume its upward trend. However, that’s not all the euro has
Key areas to watch AI infrastructure demand durability Signals from hyperscalers (Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, etc.) will indicate multi-year capital expenditure (capex) commitments to GPU clusters versus any pivot to custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) or internal accelerators. Breadth of demand updates from enterprises, sovereign AI projects, vertical workloads, and non-Big 5 customers will show
Yen strengthened modestly in quiet Asian trading, with many regional centers closed for Lunar New Year. Liquidity remains thin, keeping most major pairs confined within last week’s ranges. Despite limited volatility, Japanese assets offered a subtle signal of resilience. Japan’s government bonds extended gains after the first JGB auction since the snap election passed without
Japan’s 5-year JGB auction drew steady demand with a 3.10 bid-to-cover ratio and a modestly tighter tail, though participation was slightly softer compared with stronger sales last year. Japan sold ¥1.89 trillion of 5-year JGBs with a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.10 (vs 3.08 prior). Stop rate (highest accepted yield) came in at 1.646%, average yield
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Renminbi options volumes plummet as vol grinds lower – FX Markets Skip to main content End of drawer navigation content USD/CNH volumes fell 84% in 2025 as PBoC currency management took hold The Chinese renminbi was only a few years ago considered among the most actively traded currencies in foreign exchange options. But volumes have
The USD/JPY pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s positive move and attracts some intraday sellers near the 153.75 resistance zone during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices touch a fresh daily low around the 153.25-153.20 area in the last hour, though the downtick lacks bearish conviction. Traders remain on high alert amid
A former BOJ board member says April is the most likely timing for the next rate hike, as policymakers await wage data and updated forecasts, signaling a cautious but ongoing normalization process. This comes via Bloomberg (gated) Former BOJ board member Seiji Adachi says April is the most likely timing for the next rate hike.
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research highlights that Malaysia’s final 4Q25 GDP grew 6.3% year‑on‑year, the fastest since 4Q22, lifting full‑year 2025 growth to 5.2%, above the official 4.0%–4.8% range. Growth was driven by domestic demand, exports, tourism and AI‑related tech. UOB expects real GDP to slow to 4.5% in 2026 and Bank Negara Malaysia
