Trading remained subdued in the forex markets today, with most major pairs consolidating within Friday’s ranges. Dollar has given back some of last week’s gains, though selling momentum remains modest and order flows are light. Market conviction on the Fed outlook remains steady. Futures price a 92% probability of a rate cut at the October […]
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde tread carefully on Thursday as she attempted to paint a rosier view for the euro area economy without dismissing the impact of the lingering uncertainty linked to the trade tariffs, the political turmoil in France and a stronger euro. The central bank for the 20-nation single currency economy left
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB’s decision to leave key rates unchanged at the September policy meeting and responds to questions from the press. Join our ECB Live Coverage here ECB press conference key takeaways “Growth shows resilience of domestic demand.” “GDP data reflects Q1 front-loading.” “Investment should be
Global bond markets came under pressure in European session, led by a sharp selloff in long-dated UK gilts. Yield on UK 30-year surged past 5.65% to its highest in 27 years, breaking above the peak set in April. Investors are increasingly concerned that Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s government may abandon fiscal discipline ahead of the
EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1700 as the US Dollar stabilizes after earlier weakness. Eurozone PMI readings indicate resilience, with manufacturing in expansion for a second consecutive month. Diverging policy paths keep the EUR/USD biased higher, as the ECB keeps policy steady while the Fed prepares to ease. The Euro (EUR) is struggling to extend its
Euro is leading the foreign exchange market today, staging a solid recovery from last week’s weakness. Investors are clearly positioning back into the single currency, but the rally has yet to find a convincing fundamental driver, leaving momentum somewhat constrained. Political uncertainty in France is also serving as a cap on Euro gains. The minority
Consumer price inflation in Germany climbed in August to its highest level in five months, while the core figure was steady amid an acceleration in food price growth, and weakened chances for further easing from the European Central Bank in the near term. The consumer price index rose 2.2 percent year-on-year following a 2.0 percent
U.S. equities closed higher overnight, but Asian markets turned mixed on Thursday as risk sentiment remained muted. Nvidia’s stronger-than-expected earnings beat on both revenue and profit dominated headlines but failed to deliver a sustained boost to risk appetite. In currency markets, Dollar softened as this week’s rebound lost steam. Overall trading remained subdued with no
The Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating in a tight range just above 1.16 and ignoring the release of weaker than expected ZEW sentiment survey figures. The release calendar is limited and the broader market is quiet, offering little in terms of near-term risk in either direction, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret
Dollar’s broad-based advance continues today, underpinned by firm sentiment that recent US trade deals with the EU and Japan mark the clearing of major global trade risks, at least for now. Though US–China talks continue in Stockholm, markets appear unbothered. Officials on both sides have indicated willingness to negotiate terms and extend the August 12
The forex market opened the week with low volatility and mixed Asian equities, but politically driven developments are keeping some G10 currencies in motion. Dollar is the weakest performer so far, with the Canadian Dollar also under pressure despite rebounding from weekend lows. Yen leads amid safe-haven inflows, while Kiwi and Aussie post modest gains.
Global markets were broadly steady on Monday, despite ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. The Nikkei led Asian bourses with a 1.26% while European indexes also opened higher. Even with Israel and Iran continuing to exchange military strikes, investor sentiment remained resilient. US equity futures are also treading water, suggesting cautiousness rather than panic ahead
European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Monday that the exchange rate of EUR/USD at 1.15 is no big obstacle on the inflation target. Key quotes The appreciation of the euro is not rapid, volatility not extreme.The risk of undershooting inflation target is very limited.The risks to inflation are balanced.Markets understood perfectly
Dollar accelerated its broad-based selloff in early US trading, plunging to its lowest level against Euro since 2021. The latest catalyst came from softer-than-expected May PPI data, which followed Wednesday’s downside surprise in CPI. The tandem inflation prints have further calmed fears of immediate tariff-driven price pass-through, at least for now, and are reinforcing expectations
Dollar fell broadly following weaker-than-expected US inflation report for May, reinforcing the narrative that consumer prices have not yet felt the full brunt of tariff pressures. The data offered some relief that the feared pass-through from tariffs to end consumers hasn’t materialized, at least not yet. However, it wasn’t enough to shift expectations for the
Sterling is sold off notably today after dismal UK labor market data intensified expectations of a BoE rate cut in August. The most striking element was the -109k drop in payrolled employment—the largest non-pandemic decline since records began in 2014—coupled with a rise in the unemployment rate to its highest level since mid-2023. While wage
The cautious optimism in Asia failed to spill into European markets, as investors turned cautious ahead of today’s US-China trade talks in London. While no one expects a sweeping resolution to the broader trade conflict, hopes are centered on incremental progress—particularly around rare earths. Kevin Hassett, Director of the US National Economic Council, struck a
