Dollar is struggling to find a definitive direction in early US session, even after the softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index report offered fresh evidence of easing inflation pressures. Annual core CPI now sits at its lowest level since 2021, a development that should bring some relief to both the Fed and markets. However, the data release […]
Euro’s rally continues after a brief pause, boosted by signs of political breakthrough in Germany over major defense and infrastructure spending. Consensus appears to be emerging around the large-scale funding deal, a game-changer toward bolstering Europe’s economic and defense resilience, especially amid ongoing geopolitical conflicts in Ukraine. Germany’s Green party is reportedly prepared to reach
The risk-off sentiment that triggered the biggest US stock market selloff in months has spilled over into Asian markets, leading to broad declines across the region. The currency markets reflect this shift too, with traditional safe havens such as Japanese Yen and Swiss franc leading gains in Asia, while risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian and
Risk sentiment took a mild turn to the downside in European markets today, with DAX pulling back from last week’s solid gains. Investors are watching developments in Germany’s political arena, where Greens have voiced opposition to proposals by CDU’s Friedrich Merz for a sweeping overhaul of debt rules, including a massive increase in state borrowing
The sharp contrast between Europe’s newfound unity and the ongoing tariff chaos in the US has been a defining theme in the financial markets. Euro’s extraordinary strength last week reflected growing investor confidence in the region’s strategic shift toward fiscal expansion and defense spending. From the formation of the “Coalition of the Willing” to the
The much-anticipated U.S. non-farm payrolls report came and went without much impact to the markets. With job growth largely in line with forecasts, the data signaled a stable labor market and the balanced outcome offers little guidance to Fed policymakers, who will continue weighing inflation trends, fiscal uncertainties, and global trade risks before committing to
Risk sentiment is mildly positive in Asian session today, as investors digest the latest developments in US trade policy and Chinese economic measures. Markets welcomed the news that the US has granted a one-month exemption for imports from Mexico and Canada for auto makers. The decision came after US President Donald Trump met with executives
Investor sentiment in Europe is exceptionally upbeat today, with German stocks leading the rally as DAX surges over 3%, breaking above the 23k mark. Euro also rallies across the board with solid momentum, with help from rise in Germany’s benchmark yield, the overall positive sentiment, as well as a struggling Dollar. The boost to European
Despite the steep selloff on Wall Street overnight, sentiment appears to have improved somewhat in Asia. Investors found reasons for optimism as China set a 2025 GDP growth target of around 5% and announced stimulus measures to counter escalating tensions with the U.S. In a notable shift, Beijing raised its budget deficit target to roughly
European markets saw a strong rally today, with notable fund inflows driving gains in DAX and Euro. Investor sentiment was boosted by expectations of increased military spending after the announcement of the UK and France-led “Coalition of the Willing” to support Ukraine. FTSE and Sterling also benefited from the renewed optimism, as traders priced in
Bitcoin led the charge in an otherwise quiet Asian session, rebounding over 20% from last week’s low after a major announcement from US President Donald Trump. The cryptocurrency sector saw dramatic relief from its steep selloff last week, as Trump revealed the creation of a strategic crypto reserve, including Bitcoin, Solana, XRP, and other digital
Market sentiment took a decisive turn for the worse last week, with risk aversion dominating across asset classes. The combination of deteriorating domestic economic conditions in the US and heightened global uncertainties has fueled concerns that risk appetite could weaken further. Equities faced renewed selling pressure, yields dropped sharply. Domestically, US economic data painted a
Risk sentiment received a boost in early US trading as January’s PCE inflation data came in line with expectations, lifting hopes that Fed may have room to cut rates in the first half of the year. Both headline and core PCE inflation slowed, adding to expectations that disinflation remains on track. Fed fund futures now
Dollar surged sharply across the board in early US session trading after US President Donald Trump reinforced his tariff plans, clarifying uncertainties that had lingered in the market. In a Truth Social post, Trump confirmed that the tariffs on Canada and Mexico will “go into effect, as scheduled” on March 4. Additionally, China will face
Dollar weakened notably against European majors and Yen as markets transitioned into US session, despite subdued overall trading activity. The decline was largely driven by extended fall in US 10-year Treasury yield, which hit its lowest level since mid-December. Beyond geopolitical and trade war concerns, market focus has turned toward whether slowing US consumption and
Euro’s brief post-election rally faded quickly, as investors welcomed CDU/CSU’s victory but remained cautious due to lingering uncertainties around coalition formation and fiscal policy. While a relatively centrist government comprising CDU and the Social Democrats would provide stability, challenges surrounding the “debt brake” reform and defense spending continue to cloud the outlook. A coalition with
Geopolitical developments dominated global headlines last week, particularly surrounding peace negotiations over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and evolving US-Ukraine relations. While US President Donald Trump’s tariffs took a backseat, concerns over their impact on consumer spending and economic growth resurfaced by the end of the week, triggering renewed risk aversion. Markets lacked clear direction for
