EUR

Euro Steady as EU Holds Fire After Trump’s 30% Tariff Blow

Euro Steady as EU Holds Fire After Trump’s 30% Tariff Blow

Risk sentiment turned mildly negative in Asia on Monday following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of 30% tariffs on imports from the EU and Mexico, starting August 1. While US futures turned lower, equity markets in Asia were more muted, digesting the move in context of still-holding EU retaliation. The 30% tariff rate on EU […]

Markets Enter High-Risk Phase as Geopolitical and Trade Risks Collide

Markets Enter High-Risk Phase as Geopolitical and Trade Risks Collide

Global Financial markets have endured months of turmoil, with overlapping concerns over the US debt downgrade, recession fears, and an intensifying global trade war. The sharp escalation in Middle East conflict last week has only deepened the anxiety, as Israel and Iran exchanged strikes, raising the specter of prolonged regional instability. With the 90-day reciprocal

Geopolitical Escalation Fuels Risk Aversion; Dollar Still Lags Despite Bounce

Geopolitical Escalation Fuels Risk Aversion; Dollar Still Lags Despite Bounce

Risk aversion dominates global markets today as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify, though the broader equity selloff has remained contained so far. The trigger came early Friday when Israel launched a series of airstrikes deep into Iranian territory, targeting key military and nuclear infrastructure. In response, Iran retaliated with a wave of drone

Dollar Crushed as Dovish Inflation Data and Trade Tensions Weigh; Euro Surges to Multi-Year High

Dollar Crushed as Dovish Inflation Data and Trade Tensions Weigh; Euro Surges to Multi-Year High

Dollar accelerated its broad-based selloff in early US trading, plunging to its lowest level against Euro since 2021. The latest catalyst came from softer-than-expected May PPI data, which followed Wednesday’s downside surprise in CPI. The tandem inflation prints have further calmed fears of immediate tariff-driven price pass-through, at least for now, and are reinforcing expectations

Sterling Slides on Poor UK GDP, While Dollar Struggles Under Trade Uncertainty

Sterling Slides on Poor UK GDP, While Dollar Struggles Under Trade Uncertainty

Sterling came under renewed pressure at the start of European session, triggered by a deeper-than-expected contraction in UK GDP for April. Services sector, the economy’s dominant component, posted its first monthly decline since October. Nine out of 14 services subsectors registered falls, pointing to broad-based weakness. It’s a disappointing start to Q2 and follows weaker-than-expected

Sterling Slumps as UK Jobs Data Fuels August BoE Rate Cut Bets

Sterling Slumps as UK Jobs Data Fuels August BoE Rate Cut Bets

Sterling is sold off notably today after dismal UK labor market data intensified expectations of a BoE rate cut in August. The most striking element was the -109k drop in payrolled employment—the largest non-pandemic decline since records began in 2014—coupled with a rise in the unemployment rate to its highest level since mid-2023. While wage

Aussie Firmer in Quiet Markets as US-China Trade Talks Continue

Aussie Firmer in Quiet Markets as US-China Trade Talks Continue

Global markets remain in a state of cautious anticipation as high-level trade negotiations between the US and China continue for a second day in London. While there’s no definitive outcome yet, mild optimism lingers. Asian equities reflected that mood, with Japan’s Nikkei and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index both trading slightly higher. Yet the prevailing

Markets Hold Breath as US-China Trade Talks Resume

Markets Hold Breath as US-China Trade Talks Resume

The cautious optimism in Asia failed to spill into European markets, as investors turned cautious ahead of today’s US-China trade talks in London. While no one expects a sweeping resolution to the broader trade conflict, hopes are centered on incremental progress—particularly around rare earths. Kevin Hassett, Director of the US National Economic Council, struck a

Job Data and US-China Rapprochement Fuel Dollar Rebound Prospects

Job Data and US-China Rapprochement Fuel Dollar Rebound Prospects

Risk sentiment improved last week, driven by the solid US non-farm payroll report that helped ease fears of a deepening slowdown. Adding to the optimism was a thaw in US-China relations. While no concrete breakthrough emerged, the fact that both sides were willing to engage again offered some relief to global markets weary of tariff

Euro Firms as ECB Lagarde Stays Confident; Silver Surges on Shift from US Assets

Euro Firms as ECB Lagarde Stays Confident; Silver Surges on Shift from US Assets

Euro surged against Dollar after ECB President Christine Lagarde struck a relatively confident tone in her post-meeting press conference. She downplayed immediate trade war fallout, stating that U.S. tariffs would likely impact growth more in 2026, by which time EU fiscal expansion—particularly military spending—would help cushion the blow. Also, Lagarde emphasized that the ECB is

Markets Unshaken by Weak US Data, Await Guidance from ECB

Markets Unshaken by Weak US Data, Await Guidance from ECB

The US markets remain remarkably steady overnight despite a string of soft US economic releases overnight. Disappointing job and services data failed to trigger any meaningful selloff in equities, while Dollar edged slightly lower. Market pricing for Fed policy remains broadly unchanged, with a 96% chance of a hold at the upcoming meeting and a

Muted Trading Persists as Trump Pressures Fed after ADP Miss

Muted Trading Persists as Trump Pressures Fed after ADP Miss

Trading remains subdued as markets drift into the US session, with little conviction across asset classes. US futures dipped slightly after a dismal ADP employment report showing only 37k job additions in May, sharply below expectations. Still, the reaction was contained, with no clear evidence of a broad risk-off move. US President Donald Trump added

Subdued Markets Drift as Tariff Tensions Resurface and BoC Decision Looms

Subdued Markets Drift as Tariff Tensions Resurface and BoC Decision Looms

Global markets remain subdued as investors struggle to find a firm direction. US stocks closed higher overnight, with NASDAQ extending to fresh multi-week highs, suggesting some resilience in tech-led risk appetite. Asian equities followed suit to some extent, but the overall momentum has been tepid. In the currency markets, Dollar is attempting to recover from

Euro Slips on Softer CPI, But Trading Largely Listless

Euro Slips on Softer CPI, But Trading Largely Listless

The currency markets remain largely listless today, with all major pairs and crosses still trapped within last week’s ranges. Euro edged slightly lower following the release of Eurozone CPI data, which showed inflation falling below the ECB’s 2% target for the first time since September last year. The core measure also softened notably, reinforcing the

Trade Tensions Drag Dollar While Oil Jumps on OPEC+ Hold

Trade Tensions Drag Dollar While Oil Jumps on OPEC+ Hold

Risk sentiment remains fragile as the US session gets underway, with equity markets under pressure from renewed tariff threats. European stocks are particularly heavy after US President Donald Trump threatened to double tariffs on imported steel. UK equities, however, are finding some support from Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s announcement of increased defense spending. In the

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