The forex markets remain rather indecisive today. Traders are paring back expectations for BoE rate cuts after UK inflation surged to a 10-month high. A March rate cut is now off the table, and markets are no longer fully pricing in two BoE cuts this year. However, this shift has provided only minimal support for […]
Forex markets remained subdued today, with muted reactions to key economic data. Dollar held broadly higher as traders focused on the US-Russia peace talks, where both sides agreed to continue discussions on ending Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, meaningful progress is unlikely without direct involvement from Ukraine and European nations, keeping market uncertainty elevated. Canadian
EUR/JPY declined following the release of Japan’s Gross Domestic Product report on Monday. Japan’s GDP rose by 0.7% QoQ in Q4, marking the third straight quarter of growth. The Euro may gain if a ceasefire in Ukraine is agreed upon and gas supplies resume. EUR/JPY gives up gains from the previous session, trading around 159.10
Dollar closed the week broadly lower, with the only exception being its slight gains against the even weaker Yen. Risk-on sentiment dominated global markets, fueling strong rallies in equities across the US, Europe, and Hong Kong, which in turn kept the greenback under pressure. The greenback had previously enjoyed a tariff-driven boost earlier in the
The currency markets are treading cautiously, with traders showing little reaction to stronger-than-expected US PPI data and a better-than-anticipated jobless claims report. Despite these inflationary signals, Dollar has struggled to gain further traction, as market participants hold their positions ahead of a highly anticipated announcement on US “reciprocal tariffs” from President Donald Trump. The announcement,
Dollar rallied sharply in early US trading after inflation data came in hotter than expected, reinforcing expectations that Fed will maintain its restrictive policy stance for longer than previously anticipated. 10-year Treasury yield surged past 4.6%, extending its strong rebound from earlier in the week. US equity futures plunged, with DOW futures down around -1%
Yen struggled in the Asian session and stayed weak, with renewed selling pressure driven by a combination of rising US Treasury yields and ongoing concerns over trade policy developments. Market participants are still digesting the implications of US President Donald Trump’s decision to reintroduce tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, with Canada and the EU
Dollar faced significant volatility last week as shifting trade policy signals from the White House left investors scrambling for clarity. Initially, tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports were imposed, only to be quickly suspended for 30 days following new agreements on border security and fentanyl control. Now, the focus turns to “reciprocal tariffs,” a move
The British Pound weakened significantly after BoE delivered a 25bps rate cut. The policy decision was more dovish than anticipated, primarily due to the unexpected shift in the MPC voting split. Catherine Mann, previously one of the most hawkish members of the committee, reversed course and joined Swati Dhingra in voting for a more aggressive
Dollar remains on the backfoot in early US session, despite the strong ADP private employment report. The data highlights continued resilience in the labor market, with services-driven job growth and sustained wage pressures. While this should theoretically reinforce the case for Fed to maintain its pause in easing for longer, traders appear reluctant to react
After a burst of volatility earlier in the session, currency markets are taking a breather as traders reassess the evolving US tariff situation. Comments from White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett helped cool tensions when he clarified that, “This is not a trade war, this is a drug war,” directing the focus toward
Euro is trading slightly higher following the ECB’s widely expected 25bps rate cut, though the move lacks strong momentum. In her post-meeting press conference, President Christine Lagarde reinforced the bank’s “gradual easing path”. She stated that a larger 50bps cut was not even considered today, making it clear that an aggressive rate-cutting cycle is off
Euro posted notable gains today as lifted by encouraging Eurozone PMI data that suggests the region is beginning the year on firmer footing. Private sector activity showed cautious growth, with reduced drag from manufacturing and moderate expansion in services. Most surprisingly, Germany, which struggled throughout 2024, returned to expansion. Sterling also gained on better PMI
Despite being pressured in the past few days, Dollar remains relatively resilient, refusing to drop despite renewed selling pressure earlier today. US President Donald Trump’s tariff rhetoric is having a diminishing effect on markets, as traders shift their attention back to fundamental and intermarket dynamics. The first significant market reaction to tariffs is likely to
New Zealand Dollar softened mildly today as Q4 inflation data reinforced the case for continued monetary easing by RBNZ. The central bank has ample room to swiftly bring interest rate from the current 4.25% to neutral, with inflation staying at around mid-point of 1-3% target range for the second straight quarter. Another 50bps rate cut
Forex markets have settled into quieter trading as the immediate impact of US President Donald Trump’s inauguration and initial executive orders fades. While Trump’s proposed tariffs remain a significant concern, their delayed implementation suggests a more calculated and strategic approach, tied to future negotiations. This tempered stance has brought a sense of cautious optimism to
Dollar weakened broadly in early US session as reports from The Wall Street Journal indicated that Donald Trump, during his inauguration, will only outline his trade vision but avoid imposing new tariffs for now. While this temporarily calms market fears of immediate disruptions, the situation remains dynamic, and unexpected developments could trigger sharp reversals, especially
