The European Central Bank policymakers felt no immediate pressure to adjust interest rates in September as risks to both inflation and growth were seen as balanced and the high uncertainty linked to trade policies also justified the stance as this would give more time to assess the real impact of tariffs on the economy, minutes […]
The euro area unemployment rate rose slightly in August but remained near record lows despite weaker economic activity. The jobless rate climbed marginally to 6.3 percent in August from 6.2 percent in July, Eurostat said Thursday. The rate was forecast to remain unchanged at 6.2 percent. The number of unemployed increased 11,000 from the previous
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said in a report on Tuesday that the full impact of the massive hike in trade tariffs announced by the U.S. is yet to be felt though early effects are becoming increasingly evident. In the interim outlook report, the Paris-based think tank raised the global growth forecast to
The forex markets remained largely directionless today, with consolidative trading dominating across major pairs. Price action was muted, and the release of PMI data failed to provide much impetus, with investors largely shrugging off the surveys. Eurozone PMIs offered a mixed picture. Germany showed a promising improvement, but sluggish readings in France offset the optimism.
Trading remained subdued in the forex markets today, with most major pairs consolidating within Friday’s ranges. Dollar has given back some of last week’s gains, though selling momentum remains modest and order flows are light. Market conviction on the Fed outlook remains steady. Futures price a 92% probability of a rate cut at the October
The forex markets were steady in early U.S. trading, with the BoC’s widely expected 25bps rate cut to 2.50% generating little reaction. The decision was fully priced in, and the absence of fresh guidance left traders reluctant to adjust positions. The BoC struck a cautious balance in its statement, offering no explicit signal of further
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde tread carefully on Thursday as she attempted to paint a rosier view for the euro area economy without dismissing the impact of the lingering uncertainty linked to the trade tariffs, the political turmoil in France and a stronger euro. The central bank for the 20-nation single currency economy left
Global markets steadied on today as benchmark treasury yields dipped modestly after this week’s sharp jump. The pullback in yields helped ease pressure on risk sentiment, with European stocks trading slightly higher while U.S. futures hovered near flat. Sterling also managed a tentative rebound following its steep selloff yesterday. Although investor concerns over the U.K.’s
Global bond markets came under pressure in European session, led by a sharp selloff in long-dated UK gilts. Yield on UK 30-year surged past 5.65% to its highest in 27 years, breaking above the peak set in April. Investors are increasingly concerned that Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s government may abandon fiscal discipline ahead of the
Euro is leading the foreign exchange market today, staging a solid recovery from last week’s weakness. Investors are clearly positioning back into the single currency, but the rally has yet to find a convincing fundamental driver, leaving momentum somewhat constrained. Political uncertainty in France is also serving as a cap on Euro gains. The minority
U.S. equities closed higher overnight, but Asian markets turned mixed on Thursday as risk sentiment remained muted. Nvidia’s stronger-than-expected earnings beat on both revenue and profit dominated headlines but failed to deliver a sustained boost to risk appetite. In currency markets, Dollar softened as this week’s rebound lost steam. Overall trading remained subdued with no
Currency markets stayed quiet overall, even though French politics briefly unsettled sentiment. French stocks dropped sharply as Prime Minister Francois Bayrou’s government looked increasingly at risk ahead of a September 8 confidence vote on his proposed budget cuts. Euro softened in response, though losses were limited. Bayrou’s chances of survival are slim after three main
EUR/USD remains subdued as traders adopt caution ahead of HCOB Purchasing Managers’ Index data. Eurozone HCOB PMIs forecast stand at 49.5 for Manufacturing and 50.6 for Services. The FOMC Meeting Minutes indicated that most members viewed keeping interest rates unchanged as the appropriate decision. EUR/USD edges lower after registering slight gains in the previous session,
Dollar came under renewed selling pressure in early US session following the release of July’s CPI report. Equity markets responded positively, with stock futures pushing higher as investors focused on the softer-than-expected headline reading, largely downplaying the firmer core figure. Market reaction suggests the report does little to disrupt expectations for the Fed to deliver
Dollar’s broad-based advance continues today, underpinned by firm sentiment that recent US trade deals with the EU and Japan mark the clearing of major global trade risks, at least for now. Though US–China talks continue in Stockholm, markets appear unbothered. Officials on both sides have indicated willingness to negotiate terms and extend the August 12
Markets shrugged off the latest US CPI release, with muted reactions across assets. While annual core inflation ticked slightly higher, the modest rise appears to be a relief for Fed and investors alike. Overall, the data does little to shift expectations around the Fed’s easing path. The July FOMC meeting remains firmly priced for a
The forex market opened the week with low volatility and mixed Asian equities, but politically driven developments are keeping some G10 currencies in motion. Dollar is the weakest performer so far, with the Canadian Dollar also under pressure despite rebounding from weekend lows. Yen leads amid safe-haven inflows, while Kiwi and Aussie post modest gains.
