Fed

Yen Crushed as Super-Long JGB Yields Plunge on Supply Cut Speculation

Yen Crushed as Super-Long JGB Yields Plunge on Supply Cut Speculation

Yen is under intense selling pressure today, dragged down by a sharp plunge in super-long JGB yields. The 30-year yield closed at 2.836%, down significantly from 3.165% just days ago. This abrupt move followed a Reuters report suggesting that the Ministry of Finance may reduce super-long bond issuance as part of a potential tweak to […]

Risk Appetite Returns After Trump Backs Off Immediate EU Tariff Threat

Risk Appetite Returns After Trump Backs Off Immediate EU Tariff Threat

Global markets are showing tentative signs of relief after US President Donald Trump walked back his threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union. The abrupt shift to reinstate a July 9 deadline for negotiations has helped ease investor concerns for now. Stocks in Germany and France are trading modestly higher in European

Dollar Drops as Tariff Confusion Reignites and Trade Talks Drag On

Dollar Drops as Tariff Confusion Reignites and Trade Talks Drag On

Dollar extended its slide as the new week opened in Asia, with investors once again thrown off balance by US President Donald Trump’s unpredictable tariff messaging. The latest development sees Trump agreeing to delay the planned 50% tariff hike on the European Union to July 9, following a direct request from European Commission President Ursula

Forex Today: It’s PMI-day!!!

Forex Today: It’s PMI-day!!!

The US Dollar (USD) maintained its weekly leg lower well in place, weakening to new two-week lows on the back of rising concerns over the US fiscal position in light of President Trump’s tax bill and worries over the performance of the US economy. Source link

Dollar Selloff Accelerates on Fiscal, Trade, and FX Policy Risks

Dollar Selloff Accelerates on Fiscal, Trade, and FX Policy Risks

Dollar came under broad selling pressure in Asian session, with fresh technical signals suggesting that the near-term recovery has already run its course. Also, the selloff appears to be gathering pace on a range of fundamental concerns. One focus is on Capitol Hill, where the House of Representatives is expected to vote on a multitrillion-dollar

Fed policy is well-positioned, but tariffs could impact inflation

Fed policy is well-positioned, but tariffs could impact inflation

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St Louis President Alberto Musalem added his voice to the chorus of Fedspeakers warning that US trade policy under the guidance of the Trump administration is poised to not only weigh on growth, but could also exacerbate price volatility, one of the Fed’s favorite stand-in phrases for inflation. Key highlights

Euro and Pound Rally on UK-EU Pact, Dollar Wobbles

Euro and Pound Rally on UK-EU Pact, Dollar Wobbles

Euro and Sterling surged today after the UK and EU unveiled a sweeping new agreement resetting their defence and trade relationship, the most substantial since Brexit in 2020. The comprehensive deal spans key sectors including security, energy, travel, trade, and fisheries. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer hosted European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in

Moody’s Downgrade Disrupts Calm from Tariff Truce, Dollar Faces New Test

Moody’s Downgrade Disrupts Calm from Tariff Truce, Dollar Faces New Test

Just as markets were finding their footing following a series of positive trade developments, Moody’s delivered a late-week shock by downgrading the US sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1. The move overshadowed the optimism sparked by the US-China tariff truce and the broader de-escalation of trade tensions. The trade outlook appears less volatile in

Markets Stuck in Ranges as Data Fail to Inspire

Markets Stuck in Ranges as Data Fail to Inspire

Market activity remains subdued ahead of the weekend, with major currency pairs and crosses locked within yesterday’s tight ranges. Earlier in the day, New Zealand Dollar received a brief lift from rise in inflation expectations, but the move lacked conviction and quickly faded. Similarly, Japan’s weaker-than-expected Q1 GDP figures failed to trigger much reaction, as

Weak Data Overlooked as Yen Rises on Risk-Off Mood

Weak Data Overlooked as Yen Rises on Risk-Off Mood

Mild risk-off mood is helping Yen to extend its near-term rebound, despite fresh signs of economic weakness at home. Japan’s economy was already showing signs of strain even before the impact of US tariffs, with Q1 GDP contracting more sharply than expected. BoJ is left in an increasingly precarious position, wedged between deteriorating growth and

Cautious Trade as APEC Cuts Growth View, Key UK and US Releases Awaited

Cautious Trade as APEC Cuts Growth View, Key UK and US Releases Awaited

Activity in the global stock markets remained relatively subdued, with US posting a mixed close overnight and Asian markets slipping modestly lower today. Despite China’s 50bps Reserve Requirement Ratio cut taking effect, expected to inject over USD 138B into the banking system, investor reaction has been muted. The cautious tone reflects lingering concerns over the

Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data

Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data

Dollar faced broad selling pressure throughout the Asian and European sessions but has since found some footing as markets transition into the US trading day. However, direction remains murky, with traders appearing undecided on whether to push the greenback higher or extend the recent pullback. A similar tone of uncertainty is mirrored in equities, as

Fed Cut Bets Recede Ahead of US CPI, Dollar Approaches Key Resistance

Fed Cut Bets Recede Ahead of US CPI, Dollar Approaches Key Resistance

Global equity markets surged overnight in response to the breakthrough US-China tariff truce, with risk appetite roaring back across the board. DOW jumped more than 1100 points, while S&P 500 and NASDAQ surged 3.26% and 4.35%, respectively. The relief rally extended into Europe, where Germany’s DAX surged to a new record high, reflecting broad optimism

New tariffs are certainly less stagflationary than previous path

New tariffs are certainly less stagflationary than previous path

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee took a cautionary stance on the ever-evolving trade stance of the Trump administration on Monday. According to Goolsbee’s interview with The New York Times, constantly-changing tariffs and trade strategies from the White House have thrown a very large wrench in plans for hiring and investment for

EUR/USD plummets as US-China trade truce strengthens US Dollar

EUR/USD plummets as US-China trade truce strengthens US Dollar

EUR/USD slides below 1.1100 as the US Dollar rallies after the US and China agreed to lower tariffs by 115% for 90 days. The US-China temporary trade truce is expected to tame elevated consumer inflation expectations. ECB Schnabel sees no need to lower interest rates further. EUR/USD is down over 1% near 1.1100 during North

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