Fed

US data and Fedspeak come to the fore

US data and Fedspeak come to the fore

The US Dollar kicked off the new trading week slightly on the defensive, managing to rebound from fresh multi-week lows amid tariff concerns, lower yields, and renewed jitters on the health of the US economy. Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, February 25: The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to new two-month […]

Trade and inmigration pose risks to inflation

Trade and inmigration pose risks to inflation

At last month’s meeting, Fed officials debated whether it might be wise to slow or even pause the reduction of their balance sheet holdings, given that renewed concerns over the federal debt ceiling have come back into play. In addition, the Minutes showed the staff’s economic outlook remained largely unchanged from December. Key highlights All

RBA’s Cautious Easing Leaves AUD Supported, USD/JPY Ready for a Bounce?

RBA’s Cautious Easing Leaves AUD Supported, USD/JPY Ready for a Bounce?

Australian Dollar initially dipped after RBA’s widely expected rate cut, but the move was short-lived as the currency quickly stabilized. RBA’s cautious tone on further easing provided underlying support for the Aussie. The central bank made it clear that while policy easing has begun, it is not committing to a rapid or continuous rate-cut cycle.

Yen Rallies as Strong GDP Fuels BoJ Rate Hike Speculation

Yen Rallies as Strong GDP Fuels BoJ Rate Hike Speculation

Yen gained strength across the board after Japan’s Q4 GDP growth exceeded expectations, with both private consumption and capital investment rebounding. This development supports BoJ’s decision to hike in January and has fueled speculation that another rate increase could arrive sooner than expected. It’s now seen by some economists that the timing of the next

NZD/USD advances to two-month peak, around mid-0.5700s amid weaker USD

NZD/USD advances to two-month peak, around mid-0.5700s amid weaker USD

NZD/USD gains positive traction for the third straight day amid sustained USD selling. The divergent Fed-RBNZ expectations warrant caution for aggressive bullish traders.  Last week’s breakout above the 0.5700 mark supports prospects for additional gains. The NZD/USD pair attracts buyers for the third successive day on Monday and climbs to a two-month peak, around the

Dollar at Crossroads: Rebound Possible, But Bearish Risks Intensify

Dollar at Crossroads: Rebound Possible, But Bearish Risks Intensify

Dollar closed the week broadly lower, with the only exception being its slight gains against the even weaker Yen. Risk-on sentiment dominated global markets, fueling strong rallies in equities across the US, Europe, and Hong Kong, which in turn kept the greenback under pressure. The greenback had previously enjoyed a tariff-driven boost earlier in the

Dollar Muted Despite Strong PPI, Awaits Reciprocal Tariffs

Dollar Muted Despite Strong PPI, Awaits Reciprocal Tariffs

The currency markets are treading cautiously, with traders showing little reaction to stronger-than-expected US PPI data and a better-than-anticipated jobless claims report. Despite these inflationary signals, Dollar has struggled to gain further traction, as market participants hold their positions ahead of a highly anticipated announcement on US “reciprocal tariffs” from President Donald Trump. The announcement,

Fed Chair speaks after higher US CPI in January

Fed Chair speaks after higher US CPI in January

Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), said in his semiannual Monetary Policy Report, this time before the House Financial Services Committee, that there is still job to be done regarding inflation.   Key highlights “No changes to own commitment that will not resign if asked by Trump.” “The Fed’s last policy framework did

Dollar Surges as Hot Inflation Data Solidifies Prolonged Fed Pause, Yields Surge

Dollar Surges as Hot Inflation Data Solidifies Prolonged Fed Pause, Yields Surge

Dollar rallied sharply in early US trading after inflation data came in hotter than expected, reinforcing expectations that Fed will maintain its restrictive policy stance for longer than previously anticipated. 10-year Treasury yield surged past 4.6%, extending its strong rebound from earlier in the week. US equity futures plunged, with DOW futures down around -1%

Gold Nears 3000 as Muted Reaction to Metal Tariffs Fades, Fed Powell in Focus

Gold Nears 3000 as Muted Reaction to Metal Tariffs Fades, Fed Powell in Focus

Dollar is trading is a mildly firmer tone while Gold inches closer to the key 3000 psychological level after US President Donald Trump officially raised tariffs on aluminum and steel imports. However, the broader market reaction has been relatively subdued. Major US equity indexes managed to post modest gains overnight, and 10-year Treasury yield also

Dollar’s Wild Week Ends in Uncertainty, Awaits Next Tariff Cue

Dollar’s Wild Week Ends in Uncertainty, Awaits Next Tariff Cue

Dollar faced significant volatility last week as shifting trade policy signals from the White House left investors scrambling for clarity. Initially, tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports were imposed, only to be quickly suspended for 30 days following new agreements on border security and fentanyl control. Now, the focus turns to “reciprocal tariffs,” a move

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