Global markets have steadied heading into US session, with equity futures pointing to a flat open after yesterday’s strong rally. Early optimism from Japan and Europe faded through the day, leaving investors cautious but not materially risk-off. The backdrop is one of consolidation rather than clear direction. US jobless claims delivered a notable surprise, falling […]
Dollar attempted a mild recovery in Asia today, but the uptick lacked conviction and failed to alter the broader picture of USD underperformance. The greenback remains the weakest major this week, with selling pressure intensifying after Wednesday’s sharp drop in ADP employment that reinforced concerns about labor-market deterioration. Expectations for a 25bps Fed cut next
Dollar selling intensified again in early US session after another weak ADP employment report, marking the fourth decline in private payrolls over the past six months. The series of negative prints is now being viewed as a clear sign of deterioration in the labor market, prompting markets to extend their bearish repricing of the greenback
Risk aversion returned to Asia at the start of December, lifting Yen sharply across the board. The shift in sentiment coincided with a notable surge in Japanese government bond yields, with the 10-year jumping nearly 0.07 and breaking above 1.87%, its highest level in more than 15 years. . A key catalyst was Governor Kazuo
Japan’s data releases were surprisingly strong today, with both industrial output and retail sales showing impressive gains. Combined, they paint a picture of an economy that is slowly regaining momentum on both production and consumption fronts. Yet the Yen remains notably weak, failing to capitalize on the firmer-than-expected numbers. One of the key constraints remains
New Zealand Dollar’s broad-based rally extended through today’s Asian session as a run of solid domestic data continued to bolster confidence in the country’s recovery. Strong retail sales in Q3 suggested the rebound is already underway, while the surge in business confidence and activity pointed to a more durable upturn. Together, the indicators painted a
Dollar weakened notably against Euro and Yen in early U.S. session, tracking another leg lower in Treasury yields as markets absorbed softer-than-expected September retail sales. While the report was backward-looking, it reinforced the direction of travel for consumption and added incremental weight to the view that demand is steadily cooling. PPI, meanwhile, was nor alarming.
Trading in the currency markets remained largely steady in Asian session, with major pairs and crosses stuck in unusually tight ranges. There was little conviction in either direction, and the mild risk-on tone that followed the strong U.S. close failed to generate follow-through in FX. The December Fed cut narrative has effectively been priced in,
Dollar is trading on the back foot today as markets add to bets on a December Fed rate cut, extending the repricing that began late last week. The shift was triggered by New York Fed President John Williams, who surprised markets last Friday by saying he sees room for a further “near-term adjustment,” reversing the
Asian trading has been subdued with Japan on holiday. Yen’s sharp rebound at the end of last week has failed to extend, with the currency losing energy amid a lack of fresh catalysts. The pause reflects an uneasy balance. While some investors expect further corrective strength, broader policy expectations continue to lean against the Yen.
Global markets closed last week on an uncertain footing. While bears appeared to have an upper hand, the control was never firmly gripped. Conviction was relatively thin as traders were reluctant to commit decisively. The overall impression was of markets still searching for a coherent theme to latch onto. Equities in major centers reflected the
New York Fed President John Williams delivered the day’s biggest surprise, signaling that he sees scope for another rate cut in the near term. As head of the New York Fed — a permanent FOMC voter and a traditional bellwether for committee consensus — his comments dramatically shifted the policy conversation. Only yesterday markets were
Commodity currencies came back under pressure today as the burst of Nvidia-driven optimism evaporated almost as quickly as it arrived. After a strong start, major U.S. indexes staged a staggering reversal and closed sharply lower — marking the biggest midday turn since April. What triggered the shift remains unclear, but the message from markets was
Dollar strength faded mildly after the stronger-than-expected U.S. non-farm payroll report, as traders showed little appetite to extend the post-data rally. The muted reaction reflects a market that had already repriced aggressively after yesterday’s hawkish FOMC minutes, which pushed expectations for a December rate cut sharply lower. In that sense, much of the adjustment had
Investor sentiment turned decisively positive in Asian markets today, even as traders continued dialing back expectations for a December Fed rate cut following the hawkish tone in FOMC minutes released overnight. The shift in rate expectations would normally pressure risk assets, but momentum instead swung in the other direction thanks to a powerful catalyst out
Risk-off sentiment continues to drive global markets this week, but the traditional safe-haven Yen is gaining little traction from the turbulence. The currency’s inability to capitalize on the broad defensive tone reflects an overriding theme: expectations that the BoJ’s long-awaited rate hike will be pushed back once again. Political pressure from the new government has
Swiss Franc and Yen led the forex board in Asian session today, buoyed by a fresh wave of risk aversion. U.S. equities closed notably lower overnight, with pressure concentrated once again in AI-linked megacaps. The weakness spilled quickly into Asia, lifting traditional safe havens and putting renewed strain on high-beta currencies. Nvidia fell around 2%
