Fed

Markets Stuck in Ranges as Data Fail to Inspire

Markets Stuck in Ranges as Data Fail to Inspire

Market activity remains subdued ahead of the weekend, with major currency pairs and crosses locked within yesterday’s tight ranges. Earlier in the day, New Zealand Dollar received a brief lift from rise in inflation expectations, but the move lacked conviction and quickly faded. Similarly, Japan’s weaker-than-expected Q1 GDP figures failed to trigger much reaction, as […]

Weak Data Overlooked as Yen Rises on Risk-Off Mood

Weak Data Overlooked as Yen Rises on Risk-Off Mood

Mild risk-off mood is helping Yen to extend its near-term rebound, despite fresh signs of economic weakness at home. Japan’s economy was already showing signs of strain even before the impact of US tariffs, with Q1 GDP contracting more sharply than expected. BoJ is left in an increasingly precarious position, wedged between deteriorating growth and

Cautious Trade as APEC Cuts Growth View, Key UK and US Releases Awaited

Cautious Trade as APEC Cuts Growth View, Key UK and US Releases Awaited

Activity in the global stock markets remained relatively subdued, with US posting a mixed close overnight and Asian markets slipping modestly lower today. Despite China’s 50bps Reserve Requirement Ratio cut taking effect, expected to inject over USD 138B into the banking system, investor reaction has been muted. The cautious tone reflects lingering concerns over the

Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data

Dollar Steadies After Early Weakness, Focus Turns to Australia Jobs Data

Dollar faced broad selling pressure throughout the Asian and European sessions but has since found some footing as markets transition into the US trading day. However, direction remains murky, with traders appearing undecided on whether to push the greenback higher or extend the recent pullback. A similar tone of uncertainty is mirrored in equities, as

Fed Cut Bets Recede Ahead of US CPI, Dollar Approaches Key Resistance

Fed Cut Bets Recede Ahead of US CPI, Dollar Approaches Key Resistance

Global equity markets surged overnight in response to the breakthrough US-China tariff truce, with risk appetite roaring back across the board. DOW jumped more than 1100 points, while S&P 500 and NASDAQ surged 3.26% and 4.35%, respectively. The relief rally extended into Europe, where Germany’s DAX surged to a new record high, reflecting broad optimism

New tariffs are certainly less stagflationary than previous path

New tariffs are certainly less stagflationary than previous path

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee took a cautionary stance on the ever-evolving trade stance of the Trump administration on Monday. According to Goolsbee’s interview with The New York Times, constantly-changing tariffs and trade strategies from the White House have thrown a very large wrench in plans for hiring and investment for

EUR/USD plummets as US-China trade truce strengthens US Dollar

EUR/USD plummets as US-China trade truce strengthens US Dollar

EUR/USD slides below 1.1100 as the US Dollar rallies after the US and China agreed to lower tariffs by 115% for 90 days. The US-China temporary trade truce is expected to tame elevated consumer inflation expectations. ECB Schnabel sees no need to lower interest rates further. EUR/USD is down over 1% near 1.1100 during North

Sterling and Dollar Lead as Trade Deal Grabs Attention

Sterling and Dollar Lead as Trade Deal Grabs Attention

Last week was dominated by developments out of the US and UK, not just because of monetary policy decisions, but also the unexpected announcement of a US-UK trade deal. Fed’s hold and BoE’s cut were were largely overshadowed by the surprise trade breakthrough. Importantly, the structure of the agreement offered valuable insights into the US

Markets Turn Cautious Again Ahead of US-China Talks in Switzerland

Markets Turn Cautious Again Ahead of US-China Talks in Switzerland

The forex markets are quiet today, with major pairs largely consolidating after yesterday’s modest directional movement. Dollar and British Pound remain the strongest performers overall, bolstered earlier in the week by the announcement of the US-UK trade agreement. However, both currencies are now struggling to extend their momentum. Canadian Dollar continues to lag after today’s

AUD/USD flattens around 0.6420 as US Dollar struggles for more gains

AUD/USD flattens around 0.6420 as US Dollar struggles for more gains

AUD/USD wobbles around 0.6420 as the US Dollar struggles to extend its upside despite the Fed guiding no rush for interest rate cuts. Fed Powell warns that risks to higher inflation and unemployment have risen. Investors await US-China trade talks in Switzerland on Saturday. The AUD/USD pair trades flat around 0.6420 during North American trading

Sterling in Focus as BoE Decision and US-UK Trade Deal Speculation Loom

Sterling in Focus as BoE Decision and US-UK Trade Deal Speculation Loom

Trading in the forex markets remains subdued. Fed’s policy announcement overnight triggered minimal market reaction, as it delivered a widely expected hold at 4.25–4.50%. While Fed acknowledged that risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation have increased, Chair Jerome Powell made it clear that rate cuts are not imminent. “It’s not a situation where

Calm in Currency Markets Ahead of Fed’s Fourth Straight Hold

Calm in Currency Markets Ahead of Fed’s Fourth Straight Hold

The forex markets are treading water ahead of today’s FOMC decision. While the announcement typically acts as a volatility trigger, the lack of suspense surrounding this meeting could mean muted price action even after Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Markets are pricing in a near-certainty, 99% probability, that Fed will hold the policy rate steady

GBP/USD catches some lift on hopes for a US-UK trade deal

GBP/USD catches some lift on hopes for a US-UK trade deal

GBP/USD rallied on Tuesday, bolstered by headlines of an incoming US-UK trade agreement. Specific details remain limited, but GBP markets were buoyed by hopes to avert US tariffs. The Pound Sterling settled 0.4% higher against the Greenback after testing 1.3400. GBP/USD rose on Tuesday, climbing four-tenths of one percent on the day and testing the

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