Fed

Markets Calm as US CPI Leaves Fed Outlook Unchanged, Yen Slides Continue

Markets Calm as US CPI Leaves Fed Outlook Unchanged, Yen Slides Continue

Markets shrugged off the latest US CPI release, with muted reactions across assets. While annual core inflation ticked slightly higher, the modest rise appears to be a relief for Fed and investors alike. Overall, the data does little to shift expectations around the Fed’s easing path. The July FOMC meeting remains firmly priced for a […]

Euro Steady as EU Holds Fire After Trump’s 30% Tariff Blow

Euro Steady as EU Holds Fire After Trump’s 30% Tariff Blow

Risk sentiment turned mildly negative in Asia on Monday following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of 30% tariffs on imports from the EU and Mexico, starting August 1. While US futures turned lower, equity markets in Asia were more muted, digesting the move in context of still-holding EU retaliation. The 30% tariff rate on EU

Stagflation not the base case

Stagflation not the base case

“Federal financial policy, debt, doesn’t affect our month-to-month policy decisions,” Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said while testifying about the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report before the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday. Key takeaways “Ample reserves enable banks to keep lending through stress.” “Return to scarce reserves would not save money.” “Unwinding ample reserves would

Right now, we’re in watch and wait mode

Right now, we’re in watch and wait mode

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell added further comments during his testimony before the congressional budget committee on Tuesday, building out his case for holding off on rate cuts, likely until sometime in the fourth quarter. Key highlights When the time is right, expect rate cuts to continue.Data suggests at least some of tariff will

Asia Shakes Off Iran Strike Fears, But Oil Market Still on Alert

Asia Shakes Off Iran Strike Fears, But Oil Market Still on Alert

Asian markets opened the week lower following the US military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, marking a dramatic escalation in the Middle East. However, losses were limited and short-lived, with major indexes across the region quickly recovering earlier declines. Oil prices also staged a muted response. While WTI spiked on the news, the rally has

Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged, Still Signals Two 2025 Rate Cuts

Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged, Still Signals Two 2025 Rate Cuts

Despite pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced its widely expected decision to leave interest rates unchanged. The Fed said it decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4.25 to 4.50 percent in support of its dual goals of maximum employment and inflation at the

Markets Calm, Geopolitics Linger as Fed, BoJ, BoE, and SNB Loom

Markets Calm, Geopolitics Linger as Fed, BoJ, BoE, and SNB Loom

Global markets were broadly steady on Monday, despite ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. The Nikkei led Asian bourses with a 1.26% while European indexes also opened higher. Even with Israel and Iran continuing to exchange military strikes, investor sentiment remained resilient. US equity futures are also treading water, suggesting cautiousness rather than panic ahead

Markets Enter High-Risk Phase as Geopolitical and Trade Risks Collide

Markets Enter High-Risk Phase as Geopolitical and Trade Risks Collide

Global Financial markets have endured months of turmoil, with overlapping concerns over the US debt downgrade, recession fears, and an intensifying global trade war. The sharp escalation in Middle East conflict last week has only deepened the anxiety, as Israel and Iran exchanged strikes, raising the specter of prolonged regional instability. With the 90-day reciprocal

USD/JPY falls toward 144.00 ahead of key US-Japan trade talks

USD/JPY falls toward 144.00 ahead of key US-Japan trade talks

USD/JPY edges lower on broad-based US Dollar weakness. Tariff threats reemerge ahead of upcoming talks between the United States and Japan. The G7 meeting in Canada on Sunday sets the stage for USD/JPY’s next big move. The Japanese Yen (JPY) and the US Dollar (USD) share a complex relationship, with the interests of the two

Dollar Crushed as Dovish Inflation Data and Trade Tensions Weigh; Euro Surges to Multi-Year High

Dollar Crushed as Dovish Inflation Data and Trade Tensions Weigh; Euro Surges to Multi-Year High

Dollar accelerated its broad-based selloff in early US trading, plunging to its lowest level against Euro since 2021. The latest catalyst came from softer-than-expected May PPI data, which followed Wednesday’s downside surprise in CPI. The tandem inflation prints have further calmed fears of immediate tariff-driven price pass-through, at least for now, and are reinforcing expectations

Dollar Drops on CPI Miss; Trade Optimism Offers Limited Support

Dollar Drops on CPI Miss; Trade Optimism Offers Limited Support

Dollar fell broadly following weaker-than-expected US inflation report for May, reinforcing the narrative that consumer prices have not yet felt the full brunt of tariff pressures. The data offered some relief that the feared pass-through from tariffs to end consumers hasn’t materialized, at least not yet. However, it wasn’t enough to shift expectations for the

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