USD

Risk Aversion Returns as US Tariff Fears Resurface, Dollar Recovers Late

Risk Aversion Returns as US Tariff Fears Resurface, Dollar Recovers Late

Geopolitical developments dominated global headlines last week, particularly surrounding peace negotiations over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and evolving US-Ukraine relations. While US President Donald Trump’s tariffs took a backseat, concerns over their impact on consumer spending and economic growth resurfaced by the end of the week, triggering renewed risk aversion. Markets lacked clear direction for […]

Euro Briefly Dips on Soft PMI, CAD Shrugs Off Robust Retail Sales

Euro Briefly Dips on Soft PMI, CAD Shrugs Off Robust Retail Sales

Trading is rather subdued in the forex markets today, with most major pairs and crosses stuck within yesterday’s range. Loonie failed to react to significantly stronger-than-expected retail sales data. Euro dipped earlier following weak PMI reports, but selling pressure quickly fizzled out. Yen saw some volatility during the Asian session, initially weakening alongside Japanese bond

Kiwi Wobbles After RBNZ Cut, Markets Eye UK CPI and FOMC Minutes

Kiwi Wobbles After RBNZ Cut, Markets Eye UK CPI and FOMC Minutes

New Zealand Dollar initially weakened following RBNZ’s 50bps rate cut today, but quickly regained ground as Governor Adrian Orr indicated that the pace of easing will slow in the coming months. Orr suggested that the central bank is likely to implement just more 25bps cuts, in April and May, provided that economic conditions unfold as

Muted Forex Action as Traders Overlook Data, Await RBNZ Cut

Muted Forex Action as Traders Overlook Data, Await RBNZ Cut

Forex markets remained subdued today, with muted reactions to key economic data. Dollar held broadly higher as traders focused on the US-Russia peace talks, where both sides agreed to continue discussions on ending Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, meaningful progress is unlikely without direct involvement from Ukraine and European nations, keeping market uncertainty elevated. Canadian

RBA’s Cautious Easing Leaves AUD Supported, USD/JPY Ready for a Bounce?

RBA’s Cautious Easing Leaves AUD Supported, USD/JPY Ready for a Bounce?

Australian Dollar initially dipped after RBA’s widely expected rate cut, but the move was short-lived as the currency quickly stabilized. RBA’s cautious tone on further easing provided underlying support for the Aussie. The central bank made it clear that while policy easing has begun, it is not committing to a rapid or continuous rate-cut cycle.

Yen Rallies as Strong GDP Fuels BoJ Rate Hike Speculation

Yen Rallies as Strong GDP Fuels BoJ Rate Hike Speculation

Yen gained strength across the board after Japan’s Q4 GDP growth exceeded expectations, with both private consumption and capital investment rebounding. This development supports BoJ’s decision to hike in January and has fueled speculation that another rate increase could arrive sooner than expected. It’s now seen by some economists that the timing of the next

Dollar at Crossroads: Rebound Possible, But Bearish Risks Intensify

Dollar at Crossroads: Rebound Possible, But Bearish Risks Intensify

Dollar closed the week broadly lower, with the only exception being its slight gains against the even weaker Yen. Risk-on sentiment dominated global markets, fueling strong rallies in equities across the US, Europe, and Hong Kong, which in turn kept the greenback under pressure. The greenback had previously enjoyed a tariff-driven boost earlier in the

Dollar Muted Despite Strong PPI, Awaits Reciprocal Tariffs

Dollar Muted Despite Strong PPI, Awaits Reciprocal Tariffs

The currency markets are treading cautiously, with traders showing little reaction to stronger-than-expected US PPI data and a better-than-anticipated jobless claims report. Despite these inflationary signals, Dollar has struggled to gain further traction, as market participants hold their positions ahead of a highly anticipated announcement on US “reciprocal tariffs” from President Donald Trump. The announcement,

Dollar Surges as Hot Inflation Data Solidifies Prolonged Fed Pause, Yields Surge

Dollar Surges as Hot Inflation Data Solidifies Prolonged Fed Pause, Yields Surge

Dollar rallied sharply in early US trading after inflation data came in hotter than expected, reinforcing expectations that Fed will maintain its restrictive policy stance for longer than previously anticipated. 10-year Treasury yield surged past 4.6%, extending its strong rebound from earlier in the week. US equity futures plunged, with DOW futures down around -1%

Cautious Trading Prevails as Markets Await Retaliations to US Tariffs

Cautious Trading Prevails as Markets Await Retaliations to US Tariffs

Trading is relatively subdued today across global markets as investors assess the fallout from the US steel and aluminum tariffs announced by President Donald Trump. Major European equity indexes are treading water, while US futures are slightly in the red. Treasury yields are recovering, though it remains too early to confirm a reversal of the

Gold Nears 3000 as Muted Reaction to Metal Tariffs Fades, Fed Powell in Focus

Gold Nears 3000 as Muted Reaction to Metal Tariffs Fades, Fed Powell in Focus

Dollar is trading is a mildly firmer tone while Gold inches closer to the key 3000 psychological level after US President Donald Trump officially raised tariffs on aluminum and steel imports. However, the broader market reaction has been relatively subdued. Major US equity indexes managed to post modest gains overnight, and 10-year Treasury yield also

Dollar’s Wild Week Ends in Uncertainty, Awaits Next Tariff Cue

Dollar’s Wild Week Ends in Uncertainty, Awaits Next Tariff Cue

Dollar faced significant volatility last week as shifting trade policy signals from the White House left investors scrambling for clarity. Initially, tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports were imposed, only to be quickly suspended for 30 days following new agreements on border security and fentanyl control. Now, the focus turns to “reciprocal tariffs,” a move

Dollar Gains Modestly on NFP, But Lacks Momentum

Dollar Gains Modestly on NFP, But Lacks Momentum

Dollar edged higher in early US session following the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, but the overall momentum remains lackluster. Stock futures are flat, while 10-year Treasury yield is staging a slight recovery, suggesting a measured market response as traders hold back from aggressive positioning ahead of next week’s key economic events including US CPI and

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