The article covers the following subjects:
Major Takeaways
- Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.4160 with a target of 1.4800 – 1.5200. A buy signal: the level of 1.4160 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.4050, Take Profit: 1.4800 – 1.5200.
- Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.4160 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3950 – 1.3433. A sell signal: the level of 1.4160 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.4250, Take Profit: 1.3950 – 1.3433.
Main Scenario
Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.4160 with a target of 1.4800 – 1.5200.
Alternative Scenario
Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.4160 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3950 – 1.3433.
Analysis
The ascending fifth wave of larger degree 5 presumably continues developing on the weekly chart, with wave (5) of 5 forming as its part. The third wave of smaller degree 3 of (5) has formed on the daily chart, and the local correction is presumably complete as the fourth wave 4 of (5). Apparently, the fifth wave 5 of (5) has started developing on the H4 chart. If this assumption is correct, the USD/CAD pair will continue to rise to 1.4800 – 1.5200. The level of 1.4160 is critical in this scenario, as a breakout will enable the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3950 – 1.3433.
This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.
Price chart of USDCAD in real time mode
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