OPTION EXPIRIES: EUR/USD 1.1800 (EUR 737.28 mn) 1.1755 (EUR 565.70 mn) 1.1700 (EUR 664.57 mn) 1.1600 (EUR 935.93 mn) USD/JPY GBP/USD 1.3415 (GBP 421.17 mn) 1.3250 (GBP 781.13 mn) USD/CHF 0.8000 (US$ 350.67 mn) 0.7700 (US$ 300.00 mn) USD/CAD 1.3940 (US$ 600.00 mn) 1.3800 (US$ 652.00 mn) AUD/USD EUR/GBP 0.8800 (EUR 486.21 mn) 0.8740 (EUR […]
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As prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi see exploded volumes on everything from Fed rates to geopolitical conflicts, a recent incident involving the Ukraine war highlights a critical vulnerability in the system. On November 15, a niche market on Polymarket regarding the Russian advance on the town of Myrnohrad exposed the pitfalls of relying on
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On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.0638 compared to the previous day’s fix of 7.0686. PBOC FAQs The primary monetary policy objectives of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) are to safeguard price stability, including exchange rate stability, and promote economic growth.
Leaked internal benchmarks for GPT-5.2 “Thinking” have been posted by Sam Altman, and quite frankly, the numbers are ridiculous. We aren’t talking about incremental gains here. For some reference: AIME 2025: 100.0%. It solved it. This is a big math test and it means that competition math is effectively “completed” for this model. ARC-AGI-2: This
Log in to today’s North American session Market wrap for December 11 The session following an FOMC rate decision is always a fascinating one. FOMC days tend to be truly chaotic, due to the flurry of incoming orders, algorithms driving markets up and down, and a general sense of confusion over whether events were already
The manufacturing sector in New Zealand continued to expand in November, and at a faster pace, the latest survey from BusinessNZ revealed on Friday with a Performance of Manufacturing Index score of 51.4. That’s up from 51.2 in October, and it moves further above the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates expansion from contraction. Among
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) surged to a fresh record on Thursday as investors rotated out of pressured tech names and into stocks tied more closely to economic growth following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) latest interest rate cut. Visa (V) helped lead the Dow higher after an analyst upgrade, while the S&P 500 hovered
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
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Complex moment for EV pioneer Tesla is navigating a complex moment. On one hand, the company is pushing forward with bold bets on artificial intelligence (AI)-driven vehicles and mobility services. On the other, traditional electric vehicle (EV) demand – especially in key markets – is showing strain. Some analysts are growing cautious about the stock’s
Yesterday, the Bank of Canada kept rates unchanged at 2.25%. Key points from the Bank of Canada statement: BoC held the policy rate at 2.25%, maintaining a steady stance as inflation remains near target and the economy continues to adjust to global trade disruptions. Global conditions remain mixed: major economies are resilient despite US trade
Dollar came under renewed selling pressure today after a sharp upside surprise in US weekly jobless claims. The surge in initial claims reminded investors that last week’s notably low reading was likely a statistical outlier rather than a sign of renewed labor-market strength. While the data does not yet move the needle on the probability
Ireland’s consumer price inflation increased further in November to the highest level in nearly two years, data from the Central Statistics Office showed on Thursday. The consumer price index climbed 3.2 percent year-over-year in November, faster than the 2.9 percent rise in October. Further, this was the highest inflation since February 2024, when prices had
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades close to a fresh seven-week high around 1.3400 against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The GBP/USD pair trades firmly as the US Dollar struggles to gain ground following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut on Wednesday. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major
Macro update Fed cut lifts Wall Street initially: US indices finished higher after a 25bp rate cut, with the Dow Jones up 1.05%, the S&P 500 gaining 0.67% and the Nasdaq 100 rising 0.33%, as investors took comfort in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) emphasis on labour-market weakness. Powell’s tone bolsters easing expectations: Although Powell avoided explicit guidance, he
