ECB professional forecasters have raised eurozone inflation expectations to 2.7% for 2026 while cutting growth forecasts to 1.0%, with energy costs from the Middle East war cited as the primary driver. Summary: The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters for Q2 2026 showed headline inflation expectations revised sharply upward to 2.7% for 2026, up from a […]
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New York Fed President Williams spoke earlier, says US inflation will hold around 3% this year as Middle East energy disruptions cloud the outlook, while warning oil markets may be too relaxed about supply shock risks investingLive Exclusive 10m ago Source link
Market sentiment is turning negative again as the new week begins, and with gas prices rising, this reaction makes sense. Even though the usual link between markets and the economy has weakened lately, oil prices are once again driving investor decisions. Higher energy costs are becoming a reality, and with Crude Oil rising back above
June WTI crude oil futures today settled higher by $4.48 to $106.42 but I’m more interested in longer-dated contracts that continue to creep up. That’s arguably where bonds and equities have traded off since the conflict. Early on, the market mostly took Trump at his word that oil would come down after the conflict. There
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Trump speaking to Fox News said Iran will be ‘blown off the face of the earth’ if the Islamic republic attacks US ships guiding vessels through Strait of Hormuz. A US official cited by Al Jazeera said that Project Freedom in the Strait of Hormuz is a defensive operation and we do not want to
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
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Markets were whipsawed today by a dramatic but ultimately false headline—and the reaction says everything about current risk conditions. Reports that Iranian missiles had struck a US Navy vessel near the Strait of Hormuz sent oil surging and triggered an immediate rush into the Dollar as a panic hedge. The logic was straightforward. A confirmed
US-Iran news: Yen-tervention action: Other headlines: Markets: WTI crude up 2.3% to $104.30, Brent crude up 2.9% to $111.35 S&P 500 futures down 0.2%, briefly fell by as much as 0.6% before US denies Iranian attack US dollar higher across the board, USD/JPY bounces back after suspected intervention US 10-year yields up 2.4 bps to
The euro area factory activity expanded at its strongest pace in nearly four years in April as manufacturers front-loaded their orders due to fears of the war-induced price increases and supply shock, final data from S&P Global showed Monday. The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to a 47-month high of 52.2 in April, in line
2026.05.04 2026.05.04 Aussie Builds Momentum Ahead of RBA Rate Decision. Forecast as of 04.05.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The Reserve Bank of Australia intends to raise its key interest rate for the third consecutive time. However, the AUD/USD pair’s trajectory will depend on its rhetoric. Will the cycle of monetary tightening continue, or should we expect a
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Manufacturing PMI 51.7 vs 49.5 expected Prior 48.7 That’s a surprising jump but the details show that it is mostly on the back of a notable push up in new orders and output as clients look to secure stock. Of note, HCOB points out that “growth in new work however in part reflected client stock
Dutch manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace as customers’ front-loaded orders amid uncertainty caused by the Middle East war, survey data from S&P Global showed Monday. The Nevi manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 54.4 in April from 52.0 in March. The score hit the highest seen since July 2022. Subscribe to continue reading
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