Forex markets are trading in mixed fashion, with hesitant tone, as investors continue to digest the controversial US seizure of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro over the weekend. While geopolitical risk has clearly entered the equation, price action suggests the response is far from a textbook risk-off move. There are visible safe-haven bids flowing into Dollar […]
The long-term copper trade is one I’ve been banging the drum on since at least 2022 and as you look at the longer-term supply gap, this is the year when it really starts to open up and that will be especially true with the massive Grasburg mine mostly curtailed due to last year’s tragic mudslide.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda opened the year reiterating a hawkish stance, emphasizing continued rate hikes to support stable inflation and economic growth. With USD/JPY consolidating near recent highs and long-end JGBs under pressure, the government may intervene in FX markets to stabilize the yen if upward momentum resumes, MUFG’s FX analyst Lee
2026.01.05 2026.01.05 Oil Shrugs Off Venezuela Headlines as Supply Growth Takes Time. Forecast as of 05.01.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ Political changes in Venezuela and the lifting of sanctions could lead to higher oil production, potentially keeping downward pressure on Brent prices. In practice, however, the situation is more complex, as increasing output requires significant investment and
Slovenia’s trade deficit decreased in November from a year ago as exports rose amid a drop in imports, figures from the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia showed on Monday. The trade gap narrowed to EUR 339.7 million in November from EUR 389.4 million in the same month last year. In October, the shortfall
As liquidity conditions have normalized quickly after the holiday lull, markets are digesting the fallout from Washington’s weekend raid in Venezuela and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro. While the operation initially triggered a spike in geopolitical risk, price action suggests investors remain cautious but far from alarmed. The greenback rallied broadly alongside precious metals
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2026.01.05 2026.01.05 Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 05.01.2026 Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/ Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Oil is trading
Asian stock markets have opened on a strong footing on Monday, 5 January, for the first full trading week of 2026, ignoring the potential geopolitical tension arising from the direct inland attack on Venezuela by the US over the weekend that led to the capture and swift removal of Venezuela’s leader, Maduro, by US military
The USD/JPY price analysis reveals a strong uptrend amid the US-Japan yield differential and rising dollar flows during risk-off market conditions. Carry dynamics favor the USD after risk-off sentiment is triggered by the Venezuelan operation. Markets are now turning their attention to the US jobs and PMI data due this week. The USD/JPY has started
There aren’t any major expiries to take note of for the day but things will slowly pick up as we officially going on the first trading week of the new year. The full list can be seen below. As mentioned last week, start of the year positioning flows will matter more when looking at price
Vendor says automated data collection and cleaning helps corporates plan better hedges, with unexplained P&L moves cut by 87% When a corporate treasury is working out its foreign exchange hedging strategy, it needs to consult forecasted cashflows and revenues, as well as billing and invoices in foreign currencies. But this data is often messy, residing
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) extends its descending trend against a broadly firmer US Dollar (USD) for the fourth straight day and drops to a nearly two-week low during the Asian session on Monday. The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) cautious stance on further policy tightening and the lack of a clear timeline for future rate hikes
Summary BOJ’s Ueda signalled readiness to continue raising rates Further tightening depends on growth and inflation tracking forecasts Wage–price cycle seen as increasingly sustainable Monetary adjustment framed as supportive of long-term growth Signals reinforce Japan’s exit from deflation-era policy Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reinforced expectations of further policy normalisation, signalling that the central
The manufacturing sector in Thailand continued to expand in December, and at a faster rate, the latest survey from S&P Global revealed on Monday with a manufacturing PMI score of 57.4. That’s up from 56.8 in November and it moved further above the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates expansion from contraction. Central to the
The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week’s swing low amid mixed fundamental cues. Against the backdrop of the protracted
