At a glance: Mixed geopolitical signals: ceasefire talk offsets escalation risks (Bab al-Mandab threat unverified) Markets lean toward optimism on Trump ceasefire tone despite ongoing uncertainty BoJ flags oil-driven stagflation risk, keeps policy flexible and accommodative China reinforces easing bias and fiscal support; NZ political noise adds mild uncertainty FX subdued; equities softer as traders […]
IEA warns Europe may have just six weeks of jet fuel left as Hormuz disruptions hit supply, raising risks of higher inflation, flight cuts and a global economic slowdown. Summary: IEA warns Europe may have ~6 weeks of jet fuel left if Hormuz disruption persists Energy shock seen as “largest ever,” with global inflation and
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Summary: G20 sees Middle East conflict as key driver of global economic outlook – Ueda Japan flags oil-driven deterioration in terms of trade and growth drag Supply shock complicates policy, with inflation and growth effects pulling in opposite directions BoJ maintains highly accommodative stance, keeps data-dependent approach G7 sees limited direct damage but highlights need
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Zain Vawda Market Analyst Zain is an experienced financial markets analyst and educator with a rich tapestry of experience in the world of retail forex, economics, and market analysis. Initially starting out in a sales and business development role, his passion for economics and technical analysis propelled him towards a career as an analyst. He
RBC expects global central banks to largely hold rates despite oil-driven inflation risks, with policymakers prioritising growth concerns, while the RBA remains an outlier with further tightening likely. Summary: RBC expects major central banks to hold rates despite oil-driven inflation risks Energy shock seen as dampening growth, reducing urgency to hike Fed, BoC, ECB, and
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
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If you’ve been using AI lately, you know the discourse. It’s been a frustrating few weeks for the power users and there’s a growing chorus on Reddit and X that the latest updates from Google and Anthropic have been “nerfed”—shaved down at the edges, made more cautious, and frankly, a bit dumber in the name
Industrial production in the U.S. unexpectedly decreased in the month of March, according to a report released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday. The Fed said industrial production fell by 0.5 percent in March after climbing by 0.7 percent in February. Economists had expected industrial production to inch up by 0.1 percent compared to the
The dollar do-si-do: hedgers review FX moves – FX Markets Skip to main content End of drawer navigation content Brief return of US dollar to safe-haven status amid Iran upheaval prompts real money investors to pause hedging activity If investors and traders have learnt one lesson during the presidencies of Donald J Trump, it’s that
A report released by the Labor Department on Thursday showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits pulled back by more than expected in the week ended April 11th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 218,000. Subscribe to continue reading the
Risk sentiment remains firm, but momentum is no longer accelerating. Markets are holding near recent highs as optimism over Middle East de-escalation continues to underpin sentiment, with US futures pointing to another strong open and the potential for fresh record highs in the S&P 500. At the same time, the tone is measured rather than
US equity markets reach record highs despite Middle East conflict and elevated oil prices The resilience of US equity markets in the face of geopolitical turmoil and elevated energy prices has become one of the defining features of the current macro environment. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 are trading at or near record
2026.04.16 2026.04.16 Pound On Right Track. Forecast as of 16.04.2026 Dmitri Demidenkohttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/dmitri-demidenko/ The UK government and the Bank of England appear to have made the right decisions, as reflected in February’s GDP growth figures. However, the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East in March changed the landscape entirely. How did GBP/USD quotes respond, and what
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