Reuters Tankan for August 2025: Manufacturing index +9 vs. +7 in July, marking a second month of improved sentiment transport machinery sector, including autos, posted the strongest gains, climbing to +25 from +9, but is also forecast to retreat in coming months. Non-manufacturing index +24 vs. +30 in July, the first fall for this in […]
Small business optimism in the U.S. strengthened in July after eroding in the previous month as business expectations turned positive despite a rise in uncertainty, results of a monthly survey by the National Federation of Independent Businesses showed on Tuesday. The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.7 points to 100.3 from 98.6 in June.
After a rough month of July taking the most traded Major pair from 1.1830 highs to a 4-handle correction, the NFP report at the beginning of the month led a huge wave of higher mean-reversion – An end-July daily double top on the pair had brought fresh technical fuel to sell the Euro.August 1st marked
Gaining some traction is the Atlanta Fed sticky price consumer price index. The Atlanta Fed Sticky Price Index measures the inflation rate of goods and services whose prices change relatively infrequently, making them “sticky” in response to market conditions. Purpose: It helps identify underlying, more persistent inflation trends by filtering out the “noise” from volatile
The USD/CAD outlook shows the dollar rising amid optimism over an extension of the US-China trade truce. China and the US agreed to extend their trade truce by another 90 days. Forecasts show that the annual US CPI figure might increase by 2.8%. The USD/CAD outlook shows the dollar rising amid optimism over an extension
Beneath the surface, signs of strain are emerging in both the corporate and consumer sectors, while market sentiment increasingly resembles the euphoric peaks of past bubbles. The disconnect between market performance and underlying economic fundamentals has become increasingly pronounced, with investors focusing on monetary policy expectations while potentially overlooking deteriorating conditions in key segments of
The U.K. labor market softened in the second quarter as wage growth eased, the unemployment rate held steady at a four-year high and job vacancies continued to decline sharply, official data revealed on Tuesday. The ILO jobless rate held steady at 4.7 percent in the second quarter, figures from the Office for National Statistics revealed
Dollar came under renewed selling pressure in early US session following the release of July’s CPI report. Equity markets responded positively, with stock futures pushing higher as investors focused on the softer-than-expected headline reading, largely downplaying the firmer core figure. Market reaction suggests the report does little to disrupt expectations for the Fed to deliver
Elior Manier Market Analyst Elior brings over seven years of experience in financial markets to our analyst team. Since 2018, he has actively engaged in observing, charting, and trading, driven by his passion for mastering market dynamics. With a profound understanding of the geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that shape market movements, Elior focuses on analysing
The Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating in a tight range just above 1.16 and ignoring the release of weaker than expected ZEW sentiment survey figures. The release calendar is limited and the broader market is quiet, offering little in terms of near-term risk in either direction, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret
Ether remains close to its 3 3/4 year high Ether bullish case: Ether is trying to revisit Monday’s near 3 3/4 year high at $4,362.90 ahead of Tuesday’s US consumer price index (CPI) print. The cryptocurrency remains bid while trading above its key $4,105.53-to-$3,941.08 support zone. It consists of the March, May and December 2024 as well
2025.08.12 2025.08.12 How to Use Stochastic Oscillator: Trading Guide Michael Hypovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/mikhail-hypov/ Do you want to determine entry points in the market accurately? If so, the Stochastic Oscillator should become your favorite tool. It represents a powerful momentum indicator that identifies when an asset is overbought or oversold, helping you find reversal points and determine trends.
Contributing most to the rise in the Optimism Index were respondents reporting better business conditions and reporting that it is a good time to expand. In contrast to the Optimism Index, the Uncertainty Index increased by eight points from June to 97. Twenty-one percent of small business owners reported labor quality as their single most
Turkey’s retail sales growth moderated in June after accelerating in the previous two months, the Turkish Statistical Institute said on Tuesday. The volume of retail sales climbed 14.7 percent on a yearly basis in June, slower than the 17.6 percent rise in May, which was the fastest growth since March 2024. The annual sales growth
Kelvin Wong Senior Market Analyst Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an
Prior 3.85% Inflation has continued to moderate Uncertainty in the world economy remains elevated There is a little more clarity on the scope and scale of US tariffs It suggests that more extreme outcomes are likely to be avoided Domestically, private demand appears to have been recovering gradually Labour market conditions have eased further in
It’s a known but unproven assumption that predatory trading during the 4pm London time fixing window for benchmark currency rates – mostly from high-speed hedge funds and prop desks – can lead to worse prices for clients. What’s less clear is what to do about it. A new paper, jointly authored by Deutsche Bank’s Roel Oomen
