Dollar came under renewed selling pressure today after a sharp upside surprise in US weekly jobless claims. The surge in initial claims reminded investors that last week’s notably low reading was likely a statistical outlier rather than a sign of renewed labor-market strength. While the data does not yet move the needle on the probability […]
European markets are treading water today, and the same pattern is visible in US futures as investors hold their positions ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision. With volatility expected to rise sharply mid-week, traders appear content to let the market consolidate and avoid premature positioning. Even in this holding pattern, pockets of activity stand out—most notably
Last week delivered what should have been a moment of relief for global markets: the US finally ended its historic government shutdown, clearing the way for normal economic data flow to resume. Yet instead of sparking a rally, the reopening brought little comfort. U.S. assets struggled across the board. Equities came under pressure as investors
Risk aversion intensified with markets once again gripped by tech-led weakness. Nvidia slumped in premarket trading, dragging the broader semiconductor and AI complex lower and reinforcing concerns that the sector’s valuation reset still has further to run. The risk-off tone spilled over into cryptocurrencies, where Bitcoin dropped more than 2% and looked increasingly vulnerable to
Risk aversion returned forcefully overnight, with Wall Street suffering its steepest daily decline in a month as investors unwound exposures. The reopening of the U.S. government offered no support to sentiment, with markets instead refocusing on the prospect that a December Fed rate cut is far from assured. Comments from several Fed officials pushed back
Yen extended its broad decline in Asian session as Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi doubled down on her call for the BoJ to delay further rate hikes. Addressing parliament, Takaichi said consumer prices—up around 3%—are being lifted mainly by food costs, particularly rice, rather than by wage growth or strong demand. She described the current
U.S. markets surged overnight after lawmakers in Washington moved closer to ending the country’s record-breaking government shutdown, boosting risk sentiment across equities and commodities. The Senate’s approval of a bipartisan deal eased fiscal uncertainty and restored momentum to Wall Street, where Nvidia, Palantir, and Broadcom led a powerful rebound in technology and AI-linked stocks. The
The latest ADP private employment report provided a modest dose of reassurance to the Fed, showing that U.S. job growth may be stabilizing after a period of softness. Following the data, Fed funds futures reflected roughly 70% chance of a December rate cut, up slightly from last week but still leaving room for doubt. Markets
It was a week packed with market-moving headlines and wild cross-asset swings. Traders found themselves caught between optimism over a U.S.–China trade breakthrough and caution sparked by a hawkish twist from the Fed. The result was a volatile mix that saw US equities push to new records, yields jump, and currencies shuffle in dramatic fashion.
Global markets resumed their risk-on momentum last week, buoyed by softer U.S. inflation data, easing political uncertainty, and renewed optimism over global trade. In the U.S., both DOW and S&P 500 climbed to fresh record highs after September CPI figures came in below expectations, cementing confidence that the Fed remains on track to deliver two
Global markets traded with a mildly positive tone as investors entered the U.S. session on Monday, buoyed by some optimism that the prolonged government shutdown could end within days. U.S. top White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said on CNBC that a resolution was “likely to end sometime this week,” citing signals from the Senate
Global markets ended the week with an uneasy calm, masking what appears to be growing stress beneath the surface. Wall Street showed resilience — the major indexes finished higher after mid-week volatility sparked by renewed concerns over regional bank stability. Yet in Europe, sentiment was more fragile, as bank-led declines weighed on both the FTSE
Dollar dipped briefly in early American session while U.S. futures rebounded after producer price data showed cost pressures easing modestly. The report emboldened bets on further Fed easing, with odds of a 50bps cut next week edging up to 10% and expectations for a back-to-back October move climbing back toward 80%. Still, traders appeared reluctant
U.S. equities closed higher overnight, but Asian markets turned mixed on Thursday as risk sentiment remained muted. Nvidia’s stronger-than-expected earnings beat on both revenue and profit dominated headlines but failed to deliver a sustained boost to risk appetite. In currency markets, Dollar softened as this week’s rebound lost steam. Overall trading remained subdued with no
After a week of volatility, the forex markets settled into a quieter rhythm during the Asian session on Friday. Swiss Franc stabilized somewhat, but remains the weakest performer this week after a heavy blow from Washington. Switzerland’s diplomatic efforts fell short as the harsh 39% US tariff on Swiss imports officially kicked in. The import
Asia-Pacific equities slumped today after Israel launched a military strike on Iran, targeting nuclear facilities and escalating geopolitical tensions in the region. The strike, which came without US support, was followed by a sharp vow of retaliation from Tehran. The immediate reaction saw oil prices spike nearly 9%, as traders rushed to price in potential
Sterling is sold off notably today after dismal UK labor market data intensified expectations of a BoE rate cut in August. The most striking element was the -109k drop in payrolled employment—the largest non-pandemic decline since records began in 2014—coupled with a rise in the unemployment rate to its highest level since mid-2023. While wage
